Skip to main content
Internet Archive's 25th Anniversary Logo

tv   With All Due Respect  Bloomberg  February 8, 2016 8:00pm-9:01pm EST

8:00 pm
mark: i'm mark halperin. john: and i'm john heilemann. and with all due respect to marco rubio, and with all due respect to marco rubio, and with all due respect to marco rubio -- happy super bowl commercial rewatch day, sports fans. we're sticking as close as possible to the bar. we're at the downtown radisson. the candidates are all trundling through the slushy state, making their closing argument before midnight, when the first have sure ballots will be cast.
8:01 pm
over the past 48 hours, things have changed, touched off by the great marco malfunction. speculation about how his screwup will affect the race. another thing this puts to rest -- the consensus emerging among rebel campaigns that trump has a healthy lead and is likely to win the primary. mark, if trump does come out on top tomorrow, what then? mark: well, we have seen a lot of pulled in other states, but in the last round of staples, he was way ahead -- round of polls, he was way ahead. if you leave here with a big win and four candidates go on from here or more, i think he will win south carolina in a four-way race, and he could be back to where we were before, with people wondering, can he be stopped?
8:02 pm
john: yes. and look, it will be an enormous boost. we talk about the implications -- psychic implications in iowa, coming in first here will be huge. the trump confidence will be back in full flower. he will be out there being the old donald trump again. we had a few days last week where he was different. i think it could be an enormous thing. i think whether there are four people or three people out of here, it will put him in a really strong position going forward. mark: he's a first-time candidate but he has learned to manage expectations well enough that if he wins by five or more, i think you can say i won the new hampshire primary, and he goes into south carolina.
8:03 pm
mark: before the republican debate on sunday, it seems possible that marco rubio may finish ahead of the rest of the establishment and clear that lightheaded is a south carolina. after iowa, new jersey governor chris christie made it clear that he had a plan to stop the florida center, then boom. on saturday night, christie went hard after rubio and wounded him, some believe fatally. here is a reminder of how the weekend played out, starting with the debate. i spoke to chris christie, and then john caught up with him. >> i like marco rubio, and is a smart person and a good guy, but he simply doesn't have the experience to be president of the united states. let's dispel this distinctive that barack obama doesn't know what he's doing. >> it is exactly what he is doing. he is try to change this country. >> that's what he does -- the memorized 25 second speech. >> this notion that barack obama doesn't know -- >> there it is.
8:04 pm
the memorized 25 second speech. >> when we come back, what it means to be a conservative. republican debate continues. >> just about the same place we were before. i said what i wanted to say. it never hurts to answer. >> does he seem rattled? >> not rattled enough. >> how are you feeling about your performance? >> really good. >> are you guys -- what do you make of a person who, having seen the telegraph, sees the punch coming, react in that way? >> not ready.
8:05 pm
i've got to set down with your friends who pretend they are being hard on you -- it does not represent what it's like with a live audience, and all the cameras are on. >> it's not that he can't answer questions under pressure, it's that he doesn't have the experience to know what to do in a pressure situation. john: today, marco rubio defended his performance in an interview. >> every republican candidate says the same thing. criticized president obama. but do you think you did yourself some harm, by the fact that you were mocked? >> no. what voters heard me say -- what voters heard me say was barack obama is damaging america, barack obama is tried to change america.
8:06 pm
i'm glad i got to say that and i will pay people that are people's lives for me, because it is one of the key elements of our campaign. john: so rubio says no damage to him. there is no doubt that chris christie potentially changed american history on saturday. will he be rewarded? john: will let's just think about the incredible irony of this whole thing. you can get decimated in a debate. marco rubio data to jeb bush. but he didn't turn bush into a punchline. this turned him into a punchline and there is nothing worse in politics. i think it is that for marco rubio. whether chris christie benefits enough is not nearly as clear as one of the biggest questions swirling now -- whether christie will have any benefit, or if the people who will benefit will be john kasich.
8:07 pm
john: christie started at the bottom of the establishment pack. if he had been starting at 12% or 30%, he could pick up five or six points. if he starts at four or five he could be in single digits when we wake up, and it might not be good enough. john: all right. if donald trump holds here, there are other candidates who could make that second-place spot. in the final days, they are all ganging up on each other, each looking for the slightest edge. >> i've been saying all week that sender rubio is not ready. >> he kind of validated the weakness of his campaign. >> we are now at a stage where i have a close to $35 million of attack ads run against me, many
8:08 pm
from jeb bush. >> the only time he worked with folks on the other side the aisle was when he wrote the immigration bill and as soon as he got hot, he ran away. >> to you regret your vote of the assault weapons ban? >> going back and regretting -- >> i earned an a+ rating from the nra -- >> i'm disappointed that is either take the low road to the highest office in the land. he voted, in congress, for bailouts for the banks and for special interest loopholes. mark: so john kasich, chris christie, can all potentially pull in the second or maybe third. what will determine who gets silver and bronze? john: they could be a matter of just a point or two, in which case the bronze and silver will be -- we won't even know what those things mean. but i'm looking at this tracking poll. you look at this, and is very confusing. it takes place over three days. poll results from before the
8:09 pm
debate are included, results from super bowl sunday. there is a broad consensus, sort of, that maybe kasich and bush are rising right now, and that they could find themselves in two and three. if that's true, there is distance between rubio and christie, and they will be in a strong position to argue they are going on to south carolina. but if they are all bunched up, and it is only a couple points, we can still have model. mark: christie says from too far back, cruz has not had a good week. that leaves you with bush and kasich, who a lot of people think are rising.
8:10 pm
if cruz and trump divide 60% of the vote between them, there is still that 50% left. at some point, one of them has a chance to get to 20%, but they might divided evenly. john: if marco has fallen -- if christie bumped up a lot, that could pull the others down. we literally will not know -- even a tracking poll tomorrow -- mark: if they are bunched up, who gives a speech early on, in a way that allows them to go out? we know that trumpet cruz are going on. john: when we come back, the big dog off the leash. what bill clinton has been saying about the campaign trail, after this. ♪
8:11 pm
8:12 pm
mark: eight years ago, bill clinton's decision to go against barack obama caused trouble for his wife. yesterday, the former president seemed to head down a similar path, when he criticized bernie sanders for a host of things, including allegedly misleading voters, and for having supporters who troll clinton backers online. that the former president seemed to soften. >> how did this -- the more i wish i were just a former president, and not the spouse of the next one. you know. mark: that was more indirect, but there were some subtle shots today a bernie sanders.
8:13 pm
>> change is hard. and it is worth the effort. i am so grateful for all the millennial young people who are supporting hillary -- [cheering] >> they're just as mad as the ones who aren't, but they know they have to translate their anger. mark: the moral of the story, if you cannot teach an old dog new tricks -- what is going on the bill clinton? john: we started this while the new hampshire primary was a week ago, and he said he would not let new hampshire go. he wanted to fight every angle. and his frustration -- eight years ago, it was intense, and it ended up getting him cast as a racist by many in the democratic party, when he said that obama's war record was not a fairytale. he's not a danger here because bernie sanders is a white candidate.
8:14 pm
mark: the clintons have never had a humiliating defeat in new hampshire, and the campaign is a mess, and clinton is doing what he does -- he's great for himself, he's not as good for his wife. john: and we will talk about the clinton rumor shakeups. eight years ago, his main frustration was we should have taken barack obama out earlier. we let this guy get oxygen. we should have killed him in early 2007 when we had a chance. he's frustrated. today, bill clinton has the same frustration of bernie sanders. how did we let this guy live for the six months of 2015? mark: in nevada and south carolina, i bet he comes back. john: we will see. today, hillary clinton's
8:15 pm
campaign was busy shooting down reports that there might be a campaign shakeup after in an interview with rachel maddow, clinton expressed confidence in her staff, saying "i have no idea what they are talking about or who they are talking to. it will be the campaign that i have got." the clinton campaign manager said, "there's zero truth to what you may be reading. it is wrong. hillary stands behind her team, period." a lot of other quizzical denials. what is the real deal here?
8:16 pm
mark: with the clintons, everything new is old again, and everything old is new. of course they are hearing from people that there is a problem. the message is messed up. she was very good last week, but the campaign has lost every news. sanders is getting away with things she couldn't, and i am sure they are telling people, maybe we need to fix things. it's the worst possible thing for the staff right now, which has had high morale and has been relatively leakproof. john: she has been a little more equivocal of these last hours. she said we will see what works, coming into different states. that's a big door to doing what the clintons always do. a staff shakeup for the clintons is not firing people. they don't fire people. what they do is they bring more people on to layer on top of the old people to create a more unwieldy apparatus. but it is not about firing the campaign manager. mark: the problem is the candidate does not deliver a consistent message. the other problem is there is a
8:17 pm
clash of culture. there are some people who were not clinton people, and they are not used to working with a candidate and the candidate's's spouse who occasionally insult people outside the campaign. john: [laughter] if by occasionally, you been constantly, continuously, maddeningly. mark: hillary clinton's campaign functions well when things are going well, and if not, they talk about a change. john: i will be shocked if she wins tomorrow and we don't see old clinton people -- i just laugh. mark: coming up, george stevens. he joins us after this word from our sponsors. ♪
8:18 pm
8:19 pm
8:20 pm
john: our first guest tonight is a former mitt romney super strategist, not affiliated with any campaign this year. but he has been the most vocal antitrust voice in the republican party. he aired his frustrations about the republican primary today in a column entitled "now is the time to stop trump." thanks for being here. we were talking about this this morning. in this piece, you attack something -- the nuttiness based on the theory of lanes. this is somehow a fault for donald trump, and you blame us. so please elaborate. >> well, i tried to blame you in all situations. i don't think this idea of lanes really works in a primarily this when you have most of the primaries more alike than not like. most of the civil war the supporting the same candidate in november.
8:21 pm
there is some truth to it, but the notion that there are voters here that are not accessible to any candidate is frankly overstated. i think most voters are open to voting for most of these candidates, if they make a good enough case. they just have to go out there and try to get these votes. john: this relates to trump in the sense that, by paying attention to the lane theory that has kept candidates are taking on trump, and trump is in no one's lane. >> that, and an assumption that somehow getting trump 101 is a good thing. the way you get it is because he won. right now trump is a loser. this week, more campaigns didn't
8:22 pm
go after donald trump, didn't do it in the debate. why let him get stronger? i think it's an assumption that 101, trump will lose. that's probably true, but it is a white knuckle assumption. i'd rather go after him. campaigns are about conflict. when you go out and define yourself by who you are into the other person is in, that's a great thing. trump is a huge gift to a lot of these candidates. john: you are a longtime businessperson. christie had a great saturday night, but he is still by most accounts going to have to really move up. one thing he is doing is trying to get mitt romney's endorsement. what you know about that? >> i don't know anything. i don't know if he will endorse anybody, or what his timing will be. mark: people like mitt romney, paul ryan, other republicans are saying on the sidelines. under your theory of going after
8:23 pm
trump, should people like that, should they come out and say, i'm against trump, or for the other candidate? >> i think -- i thought -- it's one of these things that if you have too much, it can play into trump's hands. he can say all the powers that be are against me. i'm not sure how many votes it would change. ultimately, these things have to be done by the candidates. the men and women in the arena. mark: the one who has been at the most is jeb bush. how has that worked for him? >> the problem is that he has been backed up by his super pac. it's as if -- we should really just fight on the ground, and he said great, you are right. if he was backed up, if the super pac had spent $50 million
8:24 pm
come testing jeb bush and donald trump, this would probably be a jeb bush/donald trump race. mark: if you are the chief strategist for chris christie, who decided to go guns blazing after marco rubio, would you have advised him -- take that brawler temperament and put it on the big guy? >> given where the two candidates were, and given the contrasts there, i thought he did it beautifully. it's hard to argue with what he did. i think it was a great moment,
8:25 pm
about something bigger, this argument that he has made that he is a prosecutor, that he can prosecute hillary clinton. in that moment, with his arm up on the podium, it was very comfortable. he had that background and skills that no one else does. i think it is attractive to voters. john: you would disagree that kristi is in a good position to take trump on. >> i think he is the most effective prosecutor. i think he could do as well. i think they all can do it well in their own way. john: if trump's first, he will go forward. the other four -- tuesday night and wednesday morning, the gap betwen -- >> i think -- john: is there any reason for the guy who finishes sixth to not go forward? >> absolutely not. look at 2012. look at what happened with gingrich. he did terribly in iowa, terribly in new hampshire, and ended up winning south carolina. look at santorum. he won iowa, though not for a couple weeks, terribly in new hampshire, didn't do well in
8:26 pm
south carolina, driven from the field in florida. with super pac's, no campaign ends because they wanted to end. it ends because they run out of money. john: stuart stevens, great to have you here. when we come back, jeb versus marco. you can also listen to us at bloomberg 99.1 fm. ♪ ♪
8:27 pm
8:28 pm
the conference call. the ultimate arena for business. hour after hour of diving deep, touching base, and putting ducks in rows. the only problem with conference calls: eventually they have to end. unless you have the comcast business voice mobile app. it lets you switch seamlessly from your desk phone to your mobile with no interruptions.
8:29 pm
i've never felt so alive. make your business phone mobile with voice mobility. comcast business. built for business.
8:30 pm
ladies, welcome. so your candidate had a rough night saturday by some accounts. >> by some. the big question is has it hurt him? you're an interested party but talking to people, talking to the campaign do you think that performance might impact him? >> i don't. i spent a lot of time talking to friends of mine in new hampshire. i've lived here for 40 years. i've been around voters of new hampshire all that time. i realize that there is a big fascination with this by the press but i don't think it had the impact on the people i'm talking to. >> there is a new cnn tracking poll the campaign is touting showing senator rubio basically unchanged. how well do you think he can do?
8:31 pm
can he finish first, second? >> i think that we're all still expecting donald trump to finish first here. i think it surprised a lot of us honestly. that donald has done as well as he has in new hampshire. the numbers have held rock steady. the thing i think we can't know about it, however, is whether his people who support him and come out are actually going to go to the polls. there are a lot of people there who are either people who haven't voted before or maybe people who are in the other party who are interested who think that they can change their affiliation. let's not assume they won't be able to. but inc. there are people who think they can change from democrat to republican on voting day which you cannot but you can first-time register. we'll see if they're motivated out. we were surprised in iowa that it didn't turn out as we expected and i wouldn't be surprised if things turned out differently in new hampshire. by differently, i don't mean that he wouldn't necessarily win but that he might not have the amount of support as it is presumed that he does from the polls we're seeing here.
8:32 pm
>> you came out here, sat down. stewart just left and said now is the time to take down trump. you said i totally agree. your candidate jeb bush has been trying to take down donald trump for a long time. why has it not worked yet? >> i think he is going to be very tough to take down. when stewart says we need a chorus behind us that is absolutely true. i also think to take him down we have to have more and more of congress speak out about him. that in mind though i don't expect him to go anywhere anytime soon. so he's going to be around for an extended period of time and i don't think anybody is going to be leaving any time soon.
8:33 pm
>> that means what? what is any time soon? >> march 1, march 15. >> march 1 is close. >> interestingly, kasich today said he was turning the focus on michigan which is march 8. so he doesn't -- kasich let's say expectation is he could do very well. he comes out with a good head of steam but he doesn't really have an operation in south carolina. right now he is pulling 3%, 4%. skip south carolina, skip nevada. goes to michigan. decides to make a stand there. assumes he can do kind of well in the northeastern states also on march 1 but he's got a long ball game to get to the blue states. and i think a lot of other candidates are going to have a long ball game, too. >> why does new hampshire matter then? if everybody is going to stay in and everyone is going to play why do we even care about who wins the state tomorrow? >> i don't think it matters this time as much as it used to. i also think there are a lot of people focusing on what happens on saturday night again. obviously the base has been pivotal in this race. all the money has been spent. all the ads have really not moved numbers. but the debates have moved
8:34 pm
numbers. on saturday night we'll have another debate in greenville. tiny amount of time to wait for that. i don't think anybody is getting out of the race before that. >> i think it matters much less than it has in the cycles. >> i think it's too early to decide and we need to see what happens on tuesday before we make this assumption so we'll see what happens. if support differs from the polling which i think it is going to personally we'll see if it matters. >> you think trump will be lower? >> i do think he will be lower. i think demonstrabley lower not low enough to lose but i think he is going to be lower. and i think, you know, we'll see how it goes. i know chris christie thinks he had such a great night the other night and is pounding away out there on how terrific he is doing but it is not showing up in the numbers so far.
8:35 pm
>> the prospect of a long fight. you work with governor romney and mrs. romney and i think it is pretty safe to say that elongated fight against gingrich and a santorum did not help mitt romney. can you make the case if this is a five or six way fight into march or april that could be good for the republican party? with trumpism not really a threat to the republican party right now, one thing happens, we all owe cruz a tremendous debt of gratitude for this, trump is no longer going to consume the republican party. that's the current expectation. so now we are engaged in debate as to who is going to be able to be imminently -- beat an imminently beatable hillary clinton. she will likely lose tomorrow. she'll have a very hard slog. donna brazyll saying it could
8:36 pm
take until may. jaws drop. assuming they don't have a nominee until may what is the rush to have ours weaned out? every single time the governors do the debate they do better. the governors fundamentally believe the more they debate the more likely it is the misses of the other candidates become much more apparent. their incentive to go anywhere is virtually nill as long as they have funding and in kasich's case i wouldn't be surprise today see cruz, kasich, and bush's fundraisers get together to make sure christie had enough money in the bank to keep going for quite a while. >> i actually take issue with some of that having watched 23 debates the last time with the romneys. as the debates rolled along people did really get better and they weren't foibles as time went on. i don't think that was really terrific. it wasn't terrific for us to have to spend all that money for all that long. at the same time this cycle unlike the last one, the democrats are going to have to be spending money, too. where i do think new hampshire is really going to matter this time especially is on the democratic side. because the story to me that has been completely missed by the press is how hillary clinton has no excuse for losing this primary except that people don't like her. and that is really what is underneath this. we don't like the -- not particularly in new hampshire.
8:37 pm
>> let's say for the sake of
8:38 pm
defending this program we have been saying all along hillary clinton should not -- she has -- not that she has no excuse for losing you about argument sanders had an advantage because he is from vermont is not a good argument. let me ask this. you know the state well. independent voters obviously a decisive part of this state and how they vote tomorrow. >> yes. >> what does an independent new hampshire voter see in bernie sanders, because that is a huge part of his support here? tell me about those voters. >> i think there are two things that work here with those voters and they're going a little bit different direction. one is with the traditional democrat, the real democrat. i think it is -- they're done with her, tired of her. and then i think there's the whole factor of burn washington down. and i'm sure you felt it as you've gone around the country but there is a huge burn washington down factor. surprisingly, and really quite shocking, i have actually heard people say, i'm deciding between donald trump and bernie sanders. it's the same deal.
8:39 pm
>> you know, i don't know the answer. i think it's finish in the top tier he certainly was so i think -- >> which results will you be watching most closely early on to tell who is going to win? >> which results? >> no, in terms of which towns matter? >> geography. >> bedford. you know, southern, parts of the southern parts of salem, nashua. certainly not concord. but bedford is usually -- merrimack. you know, that sort of down the 93 corridor. >> do you know who your husband is voting for? >> i don't. i don't know if my husband knows who he is voting for.
8:40 pm
>> does your candidate have a -- can he take on south carolina? you think he is not going to quit no matter what. >> i think he'll take on donald trump every single day. >> can he beat donald trump in south carolina? >> i don't think it is going to be south carolina where donald trump gets beat. i think we'll get to march 1 or march 15 in other states where that is going to happen. >> thanks to you both. good luck to your candidates tomorrow. >> thank you. >> when we come back the nine most famous and powerful voters in all of the granite state after this. ♪
8:41 pm
8:42 pm
>> when it comes to the new hampshire primary every voter matters but there is a small subset that get a lot more
8:43 pm
attention than others. this year there are nine of those. they are the ones who live in a place called dixville notch. this year they will be voting up in that town in the northern tip of new hampshire. they vote famously at midnight with the ones that go first in the process. every four years news crews drive up to dixville notch. it was once a resort. they do a little focus group. this year we sent our film maker to talk to that group. >> history will happen here monday night. this will be the 56th year that a first in the nation vote has had a midnight vote in dixville. >> the most voters we ever had here is 38. with the hotel closed now a loft the people no longer live here. right now in dixville there are nine residents. all nine are registered to vote. coincidentally we have nine candidates. we could have one for each.
8:44 pm
>> i have three things important to me -- god, country, and family. that will never change. for me the republican race is like the hunger games. i think things would be easier if i were a democrat. christie's wife called me and chatted for a while. directly from the trump campaign and some of his people, you know, to talk to us. >> president obama is the only president since 1960 who has become president without visiting dixville. >> john kasich came here. he was very impressive. a midwesterner. he, just a straight guy. he was a reasonable man. he didn't make claims that we didn't think he was going to be able to fulfill. >> will this be the first time voting as a resident? >> yeah. for midnight voting it is going to be pretty fun. >> we'll have a hundred% of the registered voters in the room. >> we have four registered republicans.
8:45 pm
we have one registered democrat. we have four undeclared. how many democrat or republican we don't know. >> these are the original voting booths and as soon as it strikes midnight the first voter will drop their ballot in the box. it takes about 30 seconds for the voting to happen. >> and reporter results right after midnight. somebody gets off to a head start, whoever wins here. i like to make my decisions in the quiet moments and i expect i'll have two or three between now and election day. kasich is a guy who made the biggest impression on me. i have to admit i'm leaning toward john kasich. >> bernie. >> i'll know what this community does. you know, when you know what this community does. not before. >> a lovely piece. up next sights and sounds of the campaign trail. our reporters opening up their precious notebooks right after this.
8:46 pm
8:47 pm
>> joining us now three people who called for a snap election in new hampshire so the primary will be tomorrow. sasha, start with you because you specialized in what everybody talked about on primary eve as a ground game. as you look through the six major republicans, the two democrats, who seems to have the best ability to turn out the vote tomorrow? >> i think the bush campaign has
8:48 pm
designed a pretty strong statewide network focused on mobilizing voters. >> how do you know? >> talking to folks, you know, there are places in the state where if you go to the trouble to go canvasing it means you're either ambitious or in the case of bush have a lot of resources. >> super pacs are doing it as well. >> on both sides. a little different than kasich's campaign where a basically delegated the entirety of get out the vote work to the super pac. in one of the challenges the bush campaign has had all year is how to move data back and forth between the two entities. legally and effectively. you could end up in a situation where they're duplicating efforts or not, you know, one group has targeted somebody they want to turn out --. >> on the democratic side sanders and clinton, a difference between their efforts? >> i think the most impressive thing is sanders has built up a scale as quickly as he can in the state. it's a different challenge than mobilizing voters for a caucus. you know, i wrote a piece a couple days ago about how proud they are foreign local police chiefs have called the campaign
8:49 pm
because citizens have complained that strangers showed up at their door in rural parts of the state where nobody knocked on their door before and they are sanders canvasers. they found the phones incredibly unhelpful to reach voters but have enough volunteers to get to the doors. >> generally trying to stay away from the marijuana farms but things are a little different in this cycle. a question for you going to the democratic side of the race. the clintons, hillary clinton, bill clinton now increasingly and certainly some of her aides have begun invoking raising the bloody shirt of sexism. and accusing the sanders campaign and supporters more than the candidate himself but a little bit the campaign itself, in recent days. what do you make of that? are they on solid ground there the things they're saying? or is it really just a red herring? >> i think it is a bit of a red herring right now. i do question the tactics, the timing and sort of how ferocious the rhetoric has become particularly from bill clinton. i think an issue they face is they are in a cycle right now where they can't seem to quite land anything right. they have madeline albright saying there is a special place
8:50 pm
in hell and that sort of comes back to bite them. they have gloria steinham saying the boys are supporting bernie because they want to stay with the boys. she has to put an apology on facebook. it is sort of an indication of how she has struggled to win enthusiasm among young women voters. when i talk to a lot of them now they feel offended being told they have to vote for hillary just because she is a woman. that is exactly the wrong message they want to project. it will be interesting to see how they regroup and put forward the positive message they want, her as an agent of change and particularly for women. i think they can do it but i think they made a few careless missteps here. >> the log jam below trump, what is your sense now, kasich, bush, cruz to some extent, christie, rubio. where do you think all that jockeying stands? >> jump ball. you talk to the folks on the ground here and they can't predict it. they're going out on a limb saying who they think is number two and then you see a scenario where any of those could end up
8:51 pm
at number two. the question out of new hampshire i think will be how close are they? you know, traditional thinking is that three or four tickets out of new hampshire, but somebody finishes in fifth or sixth place but one or two points off and this muddled group in the middle, they could maybe make the case that it's worth at least fighting on to south carolina to see what happens. and that they're not automatically nocket down. >> it is somewhat startling. i've had many campaigns in that group of five say to me i think we can be second. i hope we're second. but not one person has said to me we will be second. not one. >> right. it's just one of the things that is really interesting about the cycle is just pure uncertainty, right? we have the candidates all punched together. we don't know who is actually going to be second, third, fourth, fifth. then you have this sort of block of undecided voters. new hampshire voters notoriously decide late anyway. you talk to people on the ground and they say, well. i'm not going to decide until i get up in the morning, have a shower, eat my breakfast, then go vote and decide.
8:52 pm
>> let me ask you a general question here. iowa obviously ground matters. cruz a great guy. hillary clinton. really good ground game. won by a little tiny bit. how much does ground actually matter in this state? >> well, i mean, in some ways a lot more you can do. you got same day registration which you can be identifying potential supporters and if you're looking at the trump coalition or sanders coalition where you're trying to reach voters or people who don't vote and participate in the process there is a huge opportunity to bring people in to turn out on election day. that doesn't exist in other states. so, you know, on the other hand the absentee ballot laws here are ridiculous. you know, even the bush campaign, which has a huge local network from the bush family, lots of money, gave up on doing a serious absentee ballot program because you have to take notarized documents to all 40 whatever town clerks in the state. so there are certain types of field contact programs that lend themselves to doing something in new hampshire and others that just don't.
8:53 pm
>> just a couple seconds left. do you feel like tomorrow is going to win or not? >> i don't think -- i think we'll have more tickets out of here than we thought we would just a week ago. i think saturday was a game changer in the debate for that and exactly as you said i think people will continue on and try and keep on to see how this trump bubble collapses. >> i'm not predicting it but i keep running the numbers. it still seems mathematically likely that one of the 4,000 candidates is going to surge to a significant lead unless they absolutely all divide it equally. >> i agree with that. >> all right. thanks to the three of you. we'll be right back. ♪
8:54 pm
8:55 pm
8:56 pm
>> i have to ask you. who won it? >> donald trump performed well on television interviews, set expectations well and is in a good frame of mind to win and maybe win big. >> i don't know what is going to happen tomorrow but today just like saturday and sunday chris christie won the day still reveling and glorying. read the great story about hillary clinton's, one of her top donors, 90-year-old investor, schwartz. up next on "bloomberg west" emily chang speaks with her guest about the future of digital media. here with all due respect tomorrow a special two-hour episode all new on new hampshire primary day beginning at 5:00 eastern going straight through till 7:00.
8:57 pm
8:58 pm
8:59 pm
9:00 pm
>> it is tuesday, february 9. growing fears about a global slowdown have pushed the yen to its highest and 15 months. -- the deepening as investors look for haven assets. it has tumbled since the boj surprised everyone with its decision. the battle for sharp has taken another twist. it is biggean


info Stream Only

Uploaded by TV Archive on