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tv   CNN Americas Choice 2016 The Iowa Caucuses  CNN  February 1, 2016 10:00pm-11:01pm PST

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as you possibly can think, it's a virtual tie right now, the bragging rights are important for hillary clinton if she wins or bernie sanders if he were to win in iowa. that would be significant. clearly an embarrassment for the democratic party right now. let's take a closer look at what has happened so far tonight in the iowa caucuses. first on the republican side, cnn projected a while ago ted cruz, the texas senator, he is the winner in the iowa republican caucuses with 28%. trump with 24%. marco rubio in a very impressive third place with 23%. ben carson with 9%. but cruz did win. he beat trump by 6,233 votes. a big win for ted cruz. he now goes on to the next contest. all of them go on to the next contest. clearly a disappointment for donald trump. he was hoping to win the most recent polls in iowa showed he would win. but he did not win tonight. impressive night, though, for marco rubio.
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on the democratic side, hillary clinton and bernie sanders about as close as you possibly can see with 98% of the vote now in. 49.8% for hillary clinton. bernie sanders 49.6%. martin o'malley, he's down. he's now suspended his campaign for all practical purposes he is now out. technically you suspend the campaign because he wants to continue perhaps some fund-raising opportunities. but that's not what has happened so far. bernie sanders, hillary clinton in a virtual tie right now. we're watching all of this unfold. we hope to get some final numbers soon. let's hope the democratic party can reset and get those final numbers for all of us. on the gop side, by the way, senator ted cruz won the iowa caucuses. let me repeat, the man who led the polls coming into tonight, donald trump despite record turnout came in in second place with marco rubio very close, very impressive, showing in third place. let's listen to what the gop
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front-runners had to say. >> god bless the great state of iowa. [ cheers and applause ] let me first of all say, to god be the glory. [ cheers and applause ] tonight is a victory for the grassroots. tonight is a victory for courageous conservatives across iowa and all across this great nation. >> on the democratic side a dead heat for all practical purposes. almost from the start to the finish with hillary clinton and
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bernie sanders separated by less than a point. here's what both candidates told their supporters just a little while ago. >> i congratulate my esteemed friends and opponents. i wish governor o'malley the very best. he's a great public servant who has served maryland and our country. [ applause ] and i am excite d about really getting into the debate with senator sanders about the best way forward to fight for us and america. >> nine months ago we came to this beautiful state. we had no political organization. we had no money. we had no name recognition. and we were taking on the most powerful political organization in the united states of america.
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[ applause ] and tonight, while the results are still not known, it looks like we are in a virtual tie. >> very happy bernie sanders. happy hillary clinton too. a virtual tie right now. but about 90 democratic caucus sites, we're still waiting for those numbers. let's go over to david chelian, our political director. it's awkward for the democratic party that they didn't adequately staff 90 of those caucus sites. i've got to say, with all the hype, all the build-up, you'd think they would have had their work done in advance. >> awkward to say the least, especially after seeing what the republican party in iowa went through in 2012, you would think they would have made sure this was all buttoned down. >> yeah, i want you to share some of the insight into how we got to where we are right now. >> here's the thing. we took a look at how democratic voters voted tonight by age. and what is keeping this race so close, what kept hillary clinton
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in this game-s that the electorate was older than it was back in 2008. take a look at this. if you look at voters who are 65 and older, hillary clinton won 69% of them to bernie sanders' 26%. she won huge over those older voters. they made up 28% of the electorate. if you take a look at younger voters, those under the age of 30, this of course is sanders territory. he won 84% to clinton's 14%. but they only made up 18% of the electorate. so wolf, back in 2008, younger voters and older voters voted in the same size. 22% younger. 22% older. this time around the overall electorate was older. 28% of the electorate was older. 18% was younger. that's helping hillary clinton have this tie. >> she had moreically the 74-ye does better with younger people. >> his rallies are full of
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younger people and they're not turned off by his age. >> what else did we learn tonight? >> we learned on the republican side if you want to take a look at some of the candidate qualities on the republican side this is really what drove ted cruz to victory. among voters who say i'm looking for a candidate who shares my values cruz won 38% of them. marco rubio won 21%. carson won 15%. so this is really what drove cruz's victory. if you look at quality, i want a candidate who can win in november, rubio won that category. this is the electability category. 44% to 24% for trump to 22% for cruz. and if you look at the group of voters who say i want somebody who tells it like it is, look at this. donald trump, this is his brand. 66% to ted cruz's 11% to ben carson's 6%. but wolf, there were only 14% of republican voters who wanted someone to tell it like it is. the plurality of republican voters really wanted somebody
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that shared their values. that was ted cruz. >> helps explain why ted cruz won the iowa republican caucuses. let's go back to anderson for more analysis. anderson? >> amanda, you worked for ted cruz. do you think the whole new york values tag on donald trump actually worked? when you look at that, when people wanted someone who shared their values, ted cruz won. >> and if you look at candidates who share their values, donald trump was not on that list. a lot of people ridiculed ted cruz for pushing the storyline. it's something that iowans bought into because you have a billionaire like donald trump flying his luxury plane in to come campaign in iowa, they can see and feel that donald trump is not one of them. >> which is interesting, chairman rogers because at that debate where trump did show up when ted cruz tried to do the new york values against him donald trump turned it into talking about 9/11 and a lost commentators said i think that's the last time we're going to hear about new york values but ted cruz kept at it. >> i think this is bigger than that. trump had a very difficult time
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connecting to voters on the in-depth issues. i don't care if it was national security or personal values. he had a hard time connecting with voters. >> he doesn't go very in depth. >> iowa voters are a breed apart. they do take this very personal. and they're very responsible. there's an old saying when you get to iowa if you haven't met a presidential candidate in your lifetime you haven't tried very hard. they take it personal. so they're going to look at those issues. and if you saw some of that independent group in new hampshire, the first thing they talked about was he didn't -- i don't know what he's doing. i don't know what he's standing for. they're really reluctant to go for someone that doesn't have any policy depth when it comes to president. you can only get so far. and what it told me is back to the ground game, if i have a good ground game i'm talking about real issues that affect real people, you're going to have a better chance of winning in this primary cycle than you are if you're a donald trump who's doing an air game. yes, he's saying some outrageous things but you have to be more
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than that if you're going to be a contender in the republican primary. >> i think cruz had a great deal of success in taking on donald trump as not a conservative. jeb bush has failed, lindsey graham failed, rick perry failed. everybody else failed. except for ted cruz in iowa. and that's because ted cruz's credibility on being an unassailable conservative was there. so he was the one who could take on donald trump. and the flip-flop ads where huh donald trump talk about being pro choice and hillary clinton and supporting obamacare and all the rest. and i think all of that had resonance with the voters of iowa. >> there were other people beginning to say those things when ted cruz was. you had the "national review" come out and do the anti-trump
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cover. you had people like liz mayer, katy packer, republican strategist, coming out and making their own ads pointing out cruz's inconsistencies on the record. and the club for growth. the first one to go negative on the ground against donald trump in october on the issue of eminent domain. >> we'll continue in one moment. i do want to go quickly back to wolf because i think we're get something new numbers in. >> we've just gone up to 99% of the caucus sites on the democratic side are in. 49.8% for hillary clinton. 49.6% for bernie sanders. still extremely tight. almost all of the vote now in. they're getting closer and closer and closer. let's see if they can wrap this up in the next hour or so to see definitively who the democratic party says is the winner. but it's getting very, very close. .2 of 1%. anderson. >> let's continue the discussion here. does -- on the democratic side does this race change significantly tomorrow in new hampshire? >> well, it's certainly -- if hillary clinton had won a
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decisive victory tonight she would have been on her way to the nomination. she might have lost new hampshire but she would have gotten there pretty easily. i still think she's the absolute prohibitive favorite to be the nominee. it's going to be harder and take longer now. i think. so it's like if you wanted a quick race, you wanted hillary clinton to win iowa -- >> let's go back to some of that analysis earlier. first of all, i don't think we've mentioned the fact that 45-plus percent of iowa democrats identify themselves as socialists. so you start with that kind of base in iowa. and what does senator sanders talk about? let's break up the banks, we have a corrupt campaign finance system and we're against millionaires and billionaires. wherever you are. okay. let's tap into anger. and senator clinton talked about taking action. one might abe little more exciting and you have folks who want to be against all of those things. but ultimately you have to talk about solutions, how are you going to make change. so you see these age differences
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where older constituency supporting senator clinton because they want to get stuff done and maybe younger folks hearing all these exciting dynamic things, we're going to take on all these great challenges, fight the establishment. very, very exciting. what's the solution to any of these issues? and you rarely hear a solution from senator sanders on these particular issues. >> i think mayor nutter's making an important point. bernie sanders' base is white liberals. iowa and new hampshire are states with an extraordinarily high percentage of white liberals. in fact, there's only one state in the country that has a higher percentage of white liberals than iowa and new hampshire. it's vermont. so although it looks kind of remarkable that hillary clinton couldn't beat him more decisively and she's behind in new hampshire, when you look further out at states with a higher percentage of african-americans and latinos and where the white population is a little more conservative you see in fact the terrain looks pretty good for hillary clinton. that iowa's always been a bad state for the clintons. remember she finished third
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there in 2008. bill clinton didn't even compete in 1992. so this is not as bad a night for her as it might appear. >> but what it will do is bring in a lot more money. and we've all agreed on that. to sanders. and now i think he can look toward can he take california? that may not be out of the question for him. he may have a hard time in the southern states. she'll lose new hampshire. she'll win nevada. she'll win south carolina. nevada's got a lot of latinos voting. south carolina's got a lot of african-americans. she'll win those two states. then it heads to super tuesday. she'll do very well on super tuesday. but there are these other states in play where sanders conceivably -- >> she has an enthusiasm gap. very clear. >> and i tell you what, we ran into this as republicans in the last go-around. and it is real. and it is concrete. and it will drag this campaign. that's why i think the big loss for hillary clinton was exactly that. it showed this enthusiasm gap was there and it will follow her
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even into the south. >> you reran some of senator clinton's -- secretary clinton's speech tonight. you've been in big crowds. you have a tendency to talk a little louder. no one shouts louder than senator sanders. all night long. he is shouting. he is literally almost the howard peal of this campaign. >> but hillary was so angry compared to sanders. >> i don't know if she was angry. but again, let us not slip into some gender bias here. a man raises his voice, he's enthusiastic. a woman raises her voice, she's angry. let's be very careful about how we characterize some of these things. >> with the iowa caucuses over the race of course moves to new hampshire. we're going to have a very special event this wednesday night, two nights from now. the two democratic presidential candidates, hillary clinton, bernie sanders going to take part in a presidential town hall in derry, new hampshire live on cnn. it is a critical moment for each of the candidates to face the voters in new hampshire. first time they're going to be on a stage on the same night in
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the same place since what happened here tonight in iowa. audience members are going to be able to ask questions directly to the candidates. i'll be able to ask questions as well. they're going to make their closing arguments in new hampshire. it's wednesday night starting at 8:00 live on cnn. i hope you'll join us for that. there's a lot ahead. we'll take a short break. our coverage continues in just a moment. see see me. don't stare at me. see me. see me. see me to know that psoriasis is just something that i have. i'm not contagious. see me to know that i won't stop. until i find what works. discover cosentyx, a different kind of medicine for moderate to severe plaque psoriasis.
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take a look at this. look at how close it is in the iowa democratic caucuses. right now 99% of the caucus sites, they have officially reported to democratic state headquarters. hillary clinton with 49.8%. bernie sanders 49.6%. .2 of 1% difference in terms of state delegates that will go to the iowa state convention. 693 for hillary clinton. 691 for bernie sanders. unlike the republicans, they don't release the democrats in iowa, the hard numbers of how many people actually voted for these two candidates. these are the counties in iowa. there are 99 counties in iowa. the dark blue are counties that went for hillary clinton.
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the light blue for bernie sanders. you can see about evenly made up. i want to go over to john king over here at the magic wall. we've got 1% of the vote outstanding. 1% potentially could make a difference, whether hillary clinton wins or bernie sanders wins as close as it is. .2 of 1%. >> as we look at the outstanding votes let's give props to the people of calhoun county, iowa. they called it. could have saved a lot of money. 50-50 in this one county. that's why it's gray. people have been asking why is one county gray on the iowa map? gray means a tie. we're up to 99% now. remember last time we looked, we were looking over here. woodbury county now up to 100%. bernie sanders carried that county. 100% of the vote in. polk county we were still waiting. now up to 99% we've gone from 972098 -- >> this is the largest county -- >> largest county in the state. 14% of the population. big democratic area. secretary clinton's lead has been consistent throughout. a seven-point lead as it's gone from the 80s to the 90s, now up to 99% in polk county.
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over here we talked to the chairman in linn county a while ago. they're now up to 100%. he said they had a problem get something results in to the state party. that one's done. in the big population centers, wolf, dubuque 100%. just check down here in davenport. 100%. i'm not trying to make people dizzy pulling the map in and out. in the big population centers we're all done. now you're looking for the final presichkz. i found a couple up here early, 80% hancock county. very tiny. not a lot of math there but it could be a delegate as the results come in. 80% of the precincts here. we know that's missing. and if you click around more, 95% of the precincts here. this is right along the minnesota border, this county here. small rural counties missing the vote but most of them now, most of the places you go are at 100, so we're just really waiting for a few precincts the best i can tell in these rural counties because everything in the major urban areas in the suburban areas as well, dallas county just to the west of des moines are in. we're waiting for a few small rural precincts to come in but
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essentially we've got most of the vote and again, this is going to fluctuate and we may have an argument tomorrow over someone gets one or two more delegates, but we've got a tie. >> 49.8 to 49.6. she is slightly, slightly ahead. i assume they're not sleeping in those outstanding counties where votes are still out there, they're trying to figure out who won. >> that could be one of the issues. remember jeff zeleny saying they're trying recreate the results where they didn't get properly reported back to state headquarters. you call whoever the caucus chairperson was, you call the clinton chairman and the sanders leader and the o'malley leader and ask them to compare their notes. some of those people could be sleeping. remember we went through this four years ago where he'd sxith carol were gracious enough to call in and we went through the math. rick santorum won by 34 votes. we don't get a vote count on the democratic side, we get delegate equivalents. so some n. some ways the math's a little more complicated because we don't have a raw vote. if we had a raw vote we could say with this tiniability of percentage out, whoever's a
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little behind, is there enough room to catch up. this is whatnot we're doing tonight. we're trying to figure out delegate equivalents to a state democratic convention. so if you're still awake and from one of those counties, you know, e.t. phone home. >> give us a call. let's figure it out. let's figure it out quickly. thanks very much, john. anderson, back to you. hard to believe these kinds of problems still exist given the technology we supposedly have these days. >> and yet we see it time and time again. let's talk about it on the democratic side, moving forward to new hampshire and south carolina. does hillary clinton start to retool her message? she talked about being a progressive tonight, a progressive who actually wants to get things done. does she try to change in some way? >> i think she's just got to keep on with her theme that she's pragmatic, she can get things -- she's the one that can get things done, and that while she agrees with a lot of what bernie sanders says there's no way he could get it through the congress and she has the
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experience to understand how to work with the other side of the aisle. i don't think she starts attacking bernie sanders frontally. i don't think she does any of that. he's popular in new hampshire. it's kind of his home turf. so i think she just understands she's the underdog in new hampshire and lives another day. >> she shouldn't change a lot. she should not panic here. she should stick with what she's doing, survive new hampshire, see if she can get it close, win nevada, win south carolina, then get to march 15th where a bunch of very big states vote. she has to survive to get to more favorable territory and she'll be fine. if she panics and swerves, that's going to be a huge mistake. >> i think her husband would not sit still and keep doing what she's doing. he would advise her you've got to find some more innovative ways that are consistent with who you are but ways that give -- you know, one of the big arguments against her tonight was she was stale, she feels stale, and she has to find ways
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to freshen up. she has to find ways to connect to young people. >> but hasn't that been a knock against her for a long time? just talk about retooling is something we've heard a million times before. >> she doesn't need to be a new hillary but she has to sort of tap into the conversation that's are occurring among the young. there are a lot of important issues right now that are going on on college campuses, for example, around diversity and black lives matter and all those other kind of things. she hasn't connected with any of that to my knowledge. at least that the general public knows about. i think that she can find innovative ways to communicate. >> but david, i would say specifically with regard to black lives matter, when there was a campaign event secretary clinton actually talked with the folks from black lives matter and engaged in dialogue and talked about what are the specifics, what are you trying to accomplish. there is great anger in communities of color, especially the african-american community, about police-community relations. she actually wants to try to address those issues with
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specificity. >> i agree with that. but you didn't hear any of that in the speech tonight. if you really want to send a message, more people have to know what it is. you can't do a one-off event and expect that to change how people perceive you. >> i understand. i mean, i don't know what the size of the black lives matter movement is in new hampshire. but you're going to see a lot of activity all across the united states of america. i don't think there's some big change that needs to take place. this is a person who talks about cities and crime and education and poverty and re-entry and a whole slew of issues that people walking down the streets of this city and many others across the united states of america actually care about. >> i think they feel that bernie sanders is vulnerable on foreign policy. he just doesn't show a great deal of comfort level on that subject. >> although yet when you look at the polls, you know, terrorism was fourth down on the list. it was income inequality, jobs, there was the economy -- >> right. their problem is democrats don't care about that nearly as much. i think i counted in the cnn --
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four times. the republicans mentioned it 44 times. by talking about it more she elevates it in the media discussion and she puts sanders on the defensive. you can see sanders's core weakness is when he -- he's like a great athlete who has one great pitch or one great stroke. when you knock him off his stride, away from these core economic class issues, he's not the same kind of candidate. that's what she needs to do. >> we're going to take a quick break. while many candidates are moving on to new hampshire with recharged campaigns other candidates are heading home already. on the democratic side former governor martin o'malley and mike huckabee announced they are suspending their presidential campaigns. let's listen to what they had to say tonight. >> i wish we had more resources and more time and all of those things, but elections are about choices and the main thing i need to say to you tonight is that as we come here tonight it's time to officially suspend the campaign but not because of the votes. it's because of illness. obviously, the voters are sick
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of me, and i need to acknowledge that. >> we fought very, very hard in order to give the people a choice. and the people have made their choice tonight. and it was hard to get over that threshold here. and i know that those numbers don't reflect all of the hard work that you did. but we have driven this debate. and so tonight i have to tell you that i am suspending this presidential bid. but i am not ending this fight. >> martin o'malley there. and mike huckabee. still ahead, donald trump's performance in the iowa caucuses left some wondering did his fox news debate boycott end up hurting him in the biggest race of his career. we'll dig through the data coming up. and we're watching the democratic race closely as we're trying to get final numbers. we'll be right back. was engineered...
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god bless the great state of iowa. >> this is the moment they said would never happen. >> this contest in iowa may be more important than ever. >> iowa, we love you. we thank you. in fact, i think i might come here and buy a farm. i love it. >> wow. incredibly tight democratic race and still anybody's game. >> so as i stand here tonight, breathing a big sigh of relief, thank you, iowa.
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>> i think the people of iowa have sent a very profound messa message. it looks like we are in a virtual tie. >> welcome back to cnn's special coverage of the iowa caucuses. i'm wolf blitzer. we want to welcome our viewers in the united states and around the world. it doesn't get much closer than this. hillary clinton and bernie sanders, they are in a dead heat right now. take a look at the numbers for clinton and sanders. and the breaking news this hour, the sanders campaign is asking for some precincts to recreate their caucuses saying 90 of them were not properly staffed by the democrats. we're following that race closely. we're going to bring you updates throughout the night here on cnn as they come in. on the republican side we have projected ted cruz the winner. and while donald trump came in second, marco rubio likely had
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one of the best nights of the competition, coming in a very, very strong third place. let's walk over to david chelian. he's got more on the breaking news. david, you're looking closely at these numbers of these voters on the democratic side, what they were thinking about when they were voting and why the results are this dead heat right now. >> i am looking at those numbers. before we get to them i want to update about something. you were talking about those 90 precincts. i have just communicated with an official from the iowa democratic party and they are saying that they are still currently getting results from the small number of outstanding precincts. the precincts have chairs. and they're in the process of contacting those chairs and getting their results. and they say the iowa democratic party is not taking results from the campaigns, they are taking results from the chairs who chair these precincts. so they are still collecting information from those precinct chairs at those caucuses. >> do they think we're going to get a definitive answer tonight, who actually won? >> i don't know the answer to
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that. they say they're just still in the collection of that information. but i will now -- let me tell you about those candidate qualities you were saying. one of the things here, wolf, you have this complete tie obviously between hillary clinton and bernie sanders. so we looked at what were democratic voters looking for, what kind of candidate qualities, and they break just amazingly, you will see. take a look at this. those that were seeking honest and trustworthiness in their candidates overtimingly for bernie sanders. 83% to 10%. we've seen this as part of hillary clinton's drag. the weight of the e-mail controversy around her has hurt her honesty and trustworthiness. and a quarter, 24% of the democratic electorate, wanted somebody honest and trustworthy. that's a good number for bernie sanders. same here. cares about people like he had. 26% of the electorate wanted somebody who cares about people like them. sanders beat clinton 74-22 among those voters. but she's got two really good
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qualities as well. can win in november. this is the electability quality. hillary clinton defeats bernie sanders 77% to 17% among the 20% of people looking for a candidate who can win in november. and how about right experience? this is what hillary clinton has been selling all campaign season long, and it is working for her, hugely so. 88% to 9% she beat sanders. among those voters looking for somebody with the right experience. and that is 28% of iowa democrats. so a lot of iowa democrats are looking for the right experience. that is the split, though. you've got right experience versus honest and trustworthiness. you've got cares about people like me versus can win in november. it's the battle of the heart and the mind. and we see it's totally tied up. >> and anderson, that helps explain why it's a virtual dead heat right now. >> yeah. still is. let's look on the republican side. do you think for donald trump it was a mistake to pass on the last gop debate? >> excuse me. yeah, i think it was.
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the iowa voters are very fickle in the sense that they want you to make sure you that genuflect toward the caucus process. and also, 90% of politics is just showing up p p so when you don't show up and you don't genuflect toward the process i think those voters would tend to have a harsher judgment for candidates that don't do that. i think it would cost a lot of people. in a race where it's this close, second or third, it might have been enough to cost him that. >> it's interesting because the night of that debate there was a lot of talk about that maybe it was a kind of brilliant strategic move, wheths he her h the foresight or just gut instinct because all the guns were trained on ted cruz. but obviously it didn't eliminate ted cruz. >> donald trump certainly evaded taking fire by skipping that debate. but there's another debate coming up on saturday and now he's going into that damaged and he most certainly will have to answer the critiques that people have been making against him based on his previous statements and positions which he has av d
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avoided thus far. >> i think it's interesting you see the way the media treated donald trump. there was a period early on when everyone thought he was definitely going to crash and burn. and i think once his support continued into november, december, january people kind of lost confidence in the idea that anything he would do would ultimately hurt him. so i think there was an overreaction. remember, it's also very hard to poll iowa. it was always difficult to know how much support he had. it turned out the cruz campaign had a much better understanding of the iowa electorate actually than a lot of the rest of us. and they were able to see that they have the inside track. >> but i think this was bigger than just the debate. when you talk to people on the street they'll tell you, you know, i like some of the things he said, would you like him to be your president, no, not really, but i like the fact he's out there saying it. and i think this was where the rubber meets the road. this is the first time they walked in and had to make that decision on what name to write on that piece of paper.
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and i think he lost some votes, and i think that's what rubio was able to collect some votes, for some other folks trying to stop either a trump or cruz candidly going through that process. and that's why you saw such a close second place. >> does that bode badly for donald trump moving forward or is iowa such a particular place? >> i think he's going to have problems in the south but everybody though the was going to have problems in the south. i think this showed he's not invincible, you're going to find new focused anti-trump campaigns in the super pacs. and that's going to just change the flavor of the campaign going into -- >> ted cruz is the first person who's engaged in a head-to-head battle with donald trump or a war of words and actually survived it. >> right. because he has credibility. he's a conservative. and a lot of people, if jeb bush attacks trump they say oh, you're just a rino, you're not really a conservative. but cruz is a conservative, an evangelical. so he had all the credibility to
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do it. particularly after donald trump went to liberty university and messed up. so -- >> but still was embraced by jerry falwell jr. >> exactly. but you know, it didn't necessarily -- it didn't necessarily translate. sarah -- you know, sarah palin didn't necessarily translate. i think that iowa voters had a lot of time to size -- >> it also mattered he launched his attack on donald trum frp a position of strength. if you remember bobby jindal, rick perry, rand paul, they all did it when they were at single digits and were just trying to get noticed. he spent a lot of time in this campaign, ted cruz, that is, drafting behind zonld trump. and right when the electorate was at its zenith of paying attention is when he took advantage of it. >> i think we should have some perspective here. eight hours ago we were ready to send donald trump to the white house. donald trump performed in iowa exactly the way we thought he was going to perform up until seven days ago. he's been second in iowa the
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entire time until there was a series of policy in the last week or two that showed him winning. he came in second. the question will be can he win in new hampshire? and if he can win in new hampshire we're right back to where we were just a few hours ago. >> i agree with everything he said. >> it was ground game, though. i think the big question was trump is leading, likely to win. if it correlates with voters actually showing up. that was the difference. i think people did say if their ground game doesn't perform at all for trump and does for cruz this is the turnout. >> and rubio clearly took away some -- >> that's what i was going to jump on. donald trump is not only in a strange new position because ted cruz beat him but now marco rubio's nipping at his heelds. marco rubio finished iowa within one percentage point of donald trump. that's amazing. donald trump never saw that coming. so he's going to be attacked from both ends and that's a completely new position for donald trump. >> for the democrats not over yet. the question is who's going to be declared the victor in iowa? watching the numbers closely. still 12 precincts yet to
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take a look at this. hillary clinton 49.8%. bernie sanders 49.6%. 99% of the caucus sites have reported. in terms of state delegates, allocated 696 for hillary clinton, 692 for bernie sanders. it doesn't get a whole lot closer than that. we're waiting for a few more of these precincts to report. maybe we'll get some final numbers in the course of tonight. john king is with us as we watch all of this. john, the blue, the dark blue hillary clinton. the light blue bernie sanders. and there are a couple ties i see over there. >> three counties. progress is being made. final results being called in. what are we missing? 99%. the clinton campaign is arguing they're going to come out one or two delegates ahead when the final count is done. that's what they say. what are we missing? some here in pique county in and
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around des moines, 99% of that county reporting. we're obviously missing a couple of precincts here. wolf, i just went through. 99 counties in iowa. i was just tapping away. if you look just about everywhere else you get -- two more counties. let me shrink it back down. two counties right up here along the minnesota border. 95% here. i believe another one was right over here. 80% in hancock county. the only two i sko find. i'm not saying there was another one i didn't miss among the 99. very small rural counties in both counties. 61% for -- 62% for secretary clinton there. she's winning these two counties where there's outstanding votes by quite a large margein and she's also winning polk counties by a healthy margin of 7 points. that's held up mostly throughout the night. that does not mean the missing precincts will go her way. as i said i was click around earlier trying to find others and just everywhere else i've clicked is 100%. it's a very small amount of the
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vote we're waiting for but in a race so close you can be certain not only does the state party want to get those numbers in and double and triple-check them but both campaigns, the sanders campaign and clinton campaign are watching this very closely and i suspect maybe we get the numbers tonight, even if we get the numbers tonight i'm going to get the conversation about the process continues for a day or three. >> so awkward that it's taken so long. we're going to stay on top of this. it doesn't get much closer. i want to go to cnn's dan merricka. he's traveling with hillary clinton. you're on the tarmac in des moines. getting ready to take off for new hampshire with the former secretary, right? >> we are on the tarmac, that is correct. i can hear the engines firing up as we speak. you'll probably hear some back chatter on the overhead messaging. but the clinton campaign just held a gaggle, a press conference on the plane before taking off, and they did what their candidate didn't do tonight, and they declared victory. brian fallon, the national press secretary, said we believe strongly that we won tonight.
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they are citing as john king said earlier that secretary clinton has 22 delegates compared to senator sanders' 21. in the words of jen palmieri, we believe that the outstanding precincts we will win and that would leave us with 23. they are looking at polk county, places that have yet to turn in numbers, and they also said they're happy with the results because in the words of fallon this is hospitable terrain for senator sanders. they think that with the turnout the way it was they're saying that they see the turnout in the neighborhood of 180,000 democratic caucusgoers, which would put it behind 2008 but far ahead of the 2004 result, that senator sanders should have overperformed as she has been saying for the last few weeks. they said it was tailor made for him to be successful, and they said that their strategy in iowa where they took their feet off the gas of attacking senator
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sanders directly for the last ten days, they're going to continue that in new hampshire when we land -- we land in a few hours. and her first event tomorrow morning in nashua. >> the clinton people were talking about delegates to the democratic convention that's going to be coming up in july. they say they have emerged from iowa with a couple more than bernie sanders. dan merica, have a safe flight to new hampshire. we'll check back with you once you land as well. you just heard the hillary clinton campaign, they're declaring victory. we'll see what's official. much more of our special coverage coming up right after this. ♪ melodic, calm music.
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what iowa has begun tonight is a political revolution. >> reporter: the hillary clinton campaign may be ready to declare a victory in the iowa caucuses. we're not yet ready. take a look at how close it is with 99% of the vote now in. 49.8% for hillary clinton. 49.6% for bernie sanders. still some outstanding votes. let's see what the democratic party announces officially before we declare any winner in iowa. let's go to randi kaye right now. randi kaye is standing by in new hampshire, where they're getting ready a week from today for the new hampshire primary. randi, you were with a focus group of democrats and republicans getting reactions. >> absolutely. you're group was watching what was happening in iowa to help
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them decide on a candidate. we watched it with about 60 undecided republicans and democrats, watching all the action in iowa. and they all had in their hand something like this. it's the microsoft pulse app. and on it they were able to agree strongly by hitting the thumbs up or disagree strongly by hitting the thumbs down. and anything in between as they watched the candidates speak and as they watched the caucus results come in. our group had a very strong reaction on the republican side to this comment and this statement from ted cruz. listen to this. >> weeping may endure for a night, but joy cometh in the morning. >> reporter: as a whole the group started to get neutral, which means that it started to dip, the line there, started to dip because they didn't really like what he was saying about scripture. so let me ask you. you didn't really like that very much. why not? >> no. i thought he was pandering to the crowd. he seemed to say the same thing
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over and over and made the same statement just to get the crowd to believe that that's what he really thought. and you really can't tell if he was genuine or not or if he was just saying it because that's what the iowans wanted to hear him say. >> so you were undecided. you're still undecided. and i take it that ted cruz is off your list. >> he's pretty much off my list tonight, yeah. he was kind of up there, but now i'm more leanin toward rubio but i am still undecided. >> let's see what the democrats have to say because bernie sanders and hillary clinton also spoke. and bernie sanders made a very strong remark about super pacs. listen to this. >> we are the only candidate on the democratic side without a super pac. >> super pacs clearly a big issue for this crowd. a very strong reaction. and i know you were watching this closely and had some strong feelings about it. >> oh, absolutely. i thought it was very refreshing to hear a very serious political candidate speak honestly about super pacs and about what motivates our politicians to make the decisions that they do. but i thought it was more inspiring to see that bernie
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sanders was able to really cultivate a grassroots movement and get the support of the people on his own. >> was that enough for you to decide to vote for bernie sanders or not yet? >> as of tonight, yes. >> so as i mentioned, wolf, we had about 60 undecided voters come in here tonight, and about 10 of them left decided, a mix of rubio supporters, cruz supporters, and even one woman who came in on the democratic side and switched. she said after tonight she's voting for donald trump. wolf, back to you. >> this contest moves to new hampshire right now. thanks to randi kaye for that. anderson, i know you're getting ready for a big town hall meeting in new hampshire wednesday night. >> that's right. i'm ready to get out of here. wednesday night it's going to be fascinating. it's going to be hillary clinton obviously and bernie sanders on the same stage. it's going to be the first time they're on the same stage after the iowa caucuses. they're going to be taking questions from myself. they're also going to be taking questions mostly from voters in a into hall.
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i hope you tune in for that 8:00 p.m. on wednesday night. let's get some quick final thoughts from our panel as this race moves forward. david? >> well, iowa instead of resolving things has thrown everything up in the air. this is going to be a much longer campaign. and many more americans will have a chance to have a decisive voice. and that's a good thing. >> yeah. and what an exciting night. i mean, what an amazing campaign it's been thus far. and it just is going to be continuing on both sides. >> absolutely. >> i would going into new hampshire watch for the republican establishment so try and get some folks out of the ra race so they can coalesce against cruz and against donald trump and start backing marco rubio as their horse. so there will be pressure on a lot of those governors like jeb bush and chris christie and kasich to go away. >> i think the big question on the republican side is who does donald trump think is a bigger threat to him, cruz or rubio? where's he going to direct his fire? i think that will determine the contours of the race going
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forward. >> i think that's right. we know the pattern after a big event like this, donald trump decides to throw a haymaker. it will probably be at marco rubio tomorrow in new hampshire and try to suck up all the oxygen again in the race. the other thing is this is a resource contest that's about to get very, very intense right now. rubio and cruz are probably going to start raise something big money in the next 48 hours. >> jeb bush's day of reckoning has come. he's poured a tremendous amount of money promoting himself and trying to tear apart rubio in iowa to little effect on both counts, and he will have to answer for it immediately. >> jeremy? >> i think trump has to go after rubio. i think it's going to get a little bit ugly. but i also think that sanders in that race is going to have to change and start bringing up the trustworthiness. if you saw those numbers, no sane campaign person in the room isn't going to say you need to make that an issue. >> mayor nutter. >>. >> quintessential democratic debate contest. it's not a coronation. there will be an active aggressive campaign and we'll see how things play out.
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>> we've got more evidence tonight that the democratic party is moving left. it's moving left in pretty dramatic ways. and this is going to be an issue for the party for years to come. especially with young voters are challenging liberal policies. it's going to be a challenge for hillary clinton and for the next democratic president. >> i want to thank you for joining us at home. don't go anywhere. our special live coverage continues right now, with john berman and poppy harlow. hello, everyone. welcome to a special it's not over edition of "early start." i'm john berman. >> and i'm poppy harlow. good morning to all of you. it is tuesday, february 2nd. we want to welcome our viewers here in the united states and around the world. what a night. >> the breaking news is not this. it is 2:00 a.m. on the east


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