tv Americas Choice 2016 The New Hampshire Primary CNN February 9, 2016 4:00pm-5:01pm PST
laconia and rochester. it's going to be a good night. >> not long from now, we could be seeing some results, whether the polling was accurate. this being new hampshire, whether we have surprises in store. big night either way. we'll be taking you through it all. the cnn primary night coverage continues. it's new hampshire's turn to shake up the presidential race. >> for some candidates, this may be the end of the line. >> in the northeast right now, the ground is shifting in the presidential campaign, with two insurgents counting on a comeback. >> now is not the time for establishment politics. >> i'm number one in new hampshire. will you please keep me there? >> who will rise and fall in round two. it's new hampshire's choice. tonight in the republican race -- >> go and vote! >> donald trump fighting for his first win after a bitter loss to ted cruz in iowa. >> these politicians are brutal.
>> i don't think people are interested in a temper tantrum, or you could call it a trumper tantrum. >> a free-for-all after marco rubio surged. for other gop rivals, new hampshire may be do or die. >> this state is it for me. >> new hampshire voters -- >> you all are the most powerful people in the world. >> the democratic race tonight -- >> the american people are saying, no to a rigged economy. >> bernie sanders aiming for his first win after a razor-thin loss to hillary clinton in iowa. >> we've been fighting the progressive fight and getting results. >> their face-off now more fiery than ever as they battle for votes in his backyard. >> we will transform this country. >> let's go win the nomination! >> now, it's time for voters to have their say. >> we've got to get out of it.
no matter where you are, no matter how you feel, i don't give a damn. >> if you thought the first contest was intense, get ready for the rematch. >> i've won and i've lost. it's a lot better to win. >> new hampshire is choosing. the field is narrowing. and this night may shatter expectations again. >> take a look at this. these are pictures from new hampshire. look at this. traffic is gridlocked. voting continues in parts of the state. look at this. we're also seeing very long lines of people at polling places in hudson, new hampshire, just outside of nashua. the first results of the primary election of 2016.
we want to welcome our viewers in the united states and around the world. i'm wolf blitzer in the cnn election center. the presidential race is down to eight republicans and two democrats, and a pair of contests that are more competitive than ever. and we're counting down to our first chance to project one or possibly both winners, once all the polling places in the state are closed. that happens less than one hour from now. on the republican side, donald trump has high expectations he can pull off his first win. but new hampshire voters, they are famous for making up their minds at the last minute, so there could be potentially surprises. there's also a volatile race unfolding to be trump's strongest competition tonight, marco rubio, john kasich, jeb bush, ted cruz, all in the top tier heading into the primary. for the democrats, bernie sanders is looking for a clear and commanding win over hillary clinton tonight. the vermont senator has an
advantage coming from the state right next door. but don't forget, the clintons are known for comebacks in new hampshire. let's go straight to jake tapper and dana bash for us tonight. very exciting night. >> dana, i have to say, two years ago, if someone told you that donald trump and bernie sanders were favored to win the new hampshire primary based on polls, you'd say, on what planet? >> exactly. not just that, if they do end up winning tonight, they actually will show that maybe new hampshire doesn't fly in the face so much of what happens in iowa, because they have been in double-digit leads since september in new hampshire. >> absolutely. we, of course, have key locations across the granite state, at polling sites and inside the campaigns. let's first go to jim acosta, he's at donald trump's headquarters here in manchester.
jim? >> jake and dana, a top trump campaign official tell me they're seeing jaw-dropping, record-breaking turnout across new hampshire. so much so, they're keeping their eyes on certain polling places they're insisting stay open late. they're hearing reports of long lines, especially in the town of merrimack, and donald trump i'm told does not want anybody turned away, period. one top official tells me in the state, at this point they're confident donald trump will win tonight. they want to win big. ten points, 20 points. that's how they want to send a message to the rest of the republican field tonight. and one more item from a top gop operative in the state. internal polling at a rival campaign, not donald trump's, is showing that the undecideds here in new hampshire are breaking away from rubio after his debate performance over the weekend. this operative believes that may help donald trump in the end here, jake and dana. >> fascinating. thanks, jim. let's go to sarah murray now at
the headquarters in concord, new hampshire, of ohio governor john kasich. sarah? >> jake, i don't think a couple of weeks ago we would have been talking about john kasich as one of the potential top finishers here in new hampshire. his campaign is dialed in on the independent voters tonight. their internal polling as well as polling from rival campaigns shows that independents are breaking late in kasich's favor. they're looking for those folks to potentially carry them to a second-place finish. that is a far cry for a campaign that has been languishing in the single digits. but marco rubio stumbled on the debate stage, as well as the intense push on the ground here could help them with a strong push tonight. they brought in more than 500 volunteers from out of state and about 250 were out pounding the pavement today trying to move the undecided voters into their camp just hours before the polls close. as for the candidate, he's
fitting in a little r&r. he went to the gym a little bit earlier. he'll be joining his wife to go out to dinner. we'll expect to hear from him a little bit later. back to you, jake and dana. >> thanks, sarah. the undeclared, or independent candidates important in new hampshire. almost 400,000 of them. there are a lot of candidates in competition for them. trump, and, of course, kasich, and, of course, sanders. let's check in with brianna keeler at the headquarters of bernie sanders, who until recently was an independent. brianna? >> reporter: jake, so much for managing expectations. bernie sanders is expecting a big win here in new hampshire tonight. you can tell that by the fact that he already has his victory lap planned. we learned he'll be going to new york city where he will appear on "the view" as well as the late show with stephen colbert. he'll be meeting tomorrow with reverend al sharpton as he tries to secure the endorsement of
prominent african-americans as he looks toward south carolina, where he's struggling with black voters compared to hillary clinton. a top aide to sanders telling cnn that they have not seen a concession speech. so that shows you just how confident bernie sanders is. he spent the day, like a candidate who does think he's going to win, breakfast with the family. he went to just one polling station before taking a walk. and heading to his hotel where he's going to watch the results come in. we understand bernie sanders when he comes here tonight, if this primary goes his way, he's going to relish this moment and make this case that it is a bigger win, his potential win here bigger than just new hampshire as he looks toward nevada and south carolina, guys. >> thanks, brianna. we'll come back to you very shortly. if sanders does indeed win here in new hampshire, is he the front-runner? and if so, does he then get the scrutiny that has fallen upon front-runners in the past? >> if you're the clinton
campaign, if he's considered the front-runner, maybe that's good. she tends to run better as the underdog. one thing i'm struck by in listening to all of our colleagues out there is how incredibly important these undeclared or independent voters are. i was over at kasich headquarters today, and there was a guy who had made 500 calls just in the first few hours of the day. and his pitch was specifically to undeclared voters they thought were leaning toward bernie sanders saying, bernie sanders is going to win. why don't you try to stop trump and vote kasich. it's that strategic when it comes to trying to get these swing voters. >> not being part of the establishment in terms of politicians. let's go back to washington, d.c. the election center and wolf blitzer. wolf? >> guys, thanks very much. look at these long lines, both in hudson, new hampshire, as well as merrimack, new hampshire. people have less than an hour to
go ahead and vote. we're awaiting the first real votes coming in right now. i want to go quickly to brian todd in hudson, new hampshire. brian, this is right near nashua. set the scene for us. >> reporter: that's right, wolf. dynamic turnout here in hudson. bob and i are going to move along the line. let's go, bob. this line extends about 60 feet out the door. it's been doing that for a couple of hours. it could break its record. about 9,000 voters came here in 2012. about the same in 2008. they think they've got a good shot to eclipse that. as of an hour ago, more than 7,000 had been here. these lines are out the door. here's an update from the moderator of this precinct. he said if you're in the line here, even way out the door by 8:00 when the polls close, you're going to get in and vote. look at this line of cars over here. it extends at least six blocks back. at one point it extended about a
mile back. the moderator just told me a short time ago that even these people in the cars way back, blocks back, they'll try to get all of them in, even if it's after the polls close. so they may extend that time. the undeclared voters are also the real story here. we've seen several, hundreds of undeclared voters come in and declare one way or the other. we believe they favor the republicans based on what we've observed and what the moderators have told us. but they don't have an official count of that. this is the first election you have to shoet a photo i.d. to get in here. that may account for some of the lines. it is the dynamic turnout that is driving this right now, wolf. >> brian, thanks very much. the polls in hudson close at the top of the hour, about 50 minutes or so from now. all the polls in the state close at the top of the hour. that's when we'll get the first real indications of who is winning. what is going on in this race for the white house? the first real results are about to come in. we're getting initial results,
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deputy secretary of state of new hampshire he believes there could be record turnout on this primary in new hampshire. they won't know for sure until the top of the hour. that's when all the polls in new hampshire are closed. potentially record turnout. the first votes about to be released. we'll get to them momentarily. i want to share that with our viewers. look at these long lines, though, especially in hudson, just outside of nashua. there's word they could extend the deadline, they're supposed to close polling at the top of the hour, but people have been lined up for a while there. brian todd, tell es whaus going on over there in hudson. is it possible they may extend the deadline? >> reporter: wolf, the moderator did tell us it is possible they'll extend it. they do want to close this at 8:00. we're going to move along the line here and show you the -- just the crush of people. this really started in earnest this latest influx during about the rush hour time, about 4:00 eastern time. they really started to pile in
here. but it's been a steady flow all day. the moderator said he would like to close the doors at 8:00, but he may extend it a little bit. they really just want to get everybody in who wants to vote. that's what they really want. that's what they're going to try to accomplish. they have the volunteers here working in overdrive to manage this crush of people. but it's been very orderly, very high-spirited. let's show you over here. it's been like this all day since we got here several hours ago, wolf. lines of cars. they want to get all these people in, too. so the moderator said if you're in a line of cars, they're going to try to get you in here, try to get you parked. at some point they might ask a police officer to stand at the end of one of the lines of cars and say that's it. but they're going to try to avoid that, wolf. >> brian, stand by. i want to go to kate baldwin in chichester outside of concord right now. they're counting ballots over there already, kate? >> reporter: that's exactly right, wolf. i'll step out of the way so you can see this truly unique
process that they just started. they pulled out the tables, and what you're seeing play out here, jay is going to push in. they dumped all of the ballots out, separated them all up. now they're dividing them into blue and pink. blue is a democratic ballot. pink are the republican ballots. before they start tallying results, they're going to all count all the pieces of paper so that they can get a firm read on what the turnout is here. you've got three tables, teams of two that are going to be counting through these numbers. this is just starting as we speak. once they get these numbers, then they will start going through the results one by one, and tallying them up. and then the moderator right here will eventually be announcing the final results. the early read they suggested to me early, wolf, that they seemed on track to have a big turnout here in chichester. they handed out 1,250 ballots, before even the last people had voted. the last big number was in 2008
where there was just over 1,100 was their total turnout. it's looking to be on track for a big turnout. the counting of the turnout is just beginning, wolf. >> i love to see those pictures of democracy in action. kate baldwin, thanks very much. i want to walk over to david, our cnn political director. you're looking at the exit poll numbers. it's pretty fascinating what's going on. >> you were talking with jake and dana before about the all-important independent voters. these are the undeclared voters that make up the largest swath overall of the voters in new hampshire. take a look at how they're playing in the primaries. if you look at the democratic electorate today, 41% of those voting in the democratic primary today are undeclared or independent voters. 55% are democrat. if you look at the republican primary electorate today, you see that 35% of them are independents, 62% are republicans. what you're seeing here, wolf, is the independents are infiltrating, if you will,
choosing to play in a greater degree in the democratic primary than they are in the republican primary. if i was sitting in bernie sanders' headquarters tonight, i would look at that and say, wow, 4 out of 10 are independents. they're fueling bernie sanders' candidacy so far. i would think that would be a really good number for me tonight. >> all right. let's go to anderson. this is a moment that a lot of people have been waiting for right now. >> yeah. incredibly exciting to actually have a night to get the votes from the first primary state. i want to go to our reporters, and our analysts' table here. gloria borger, and senior political reporter, david axelrod, and obviously michael smir connish. you have been looking very closely at these exit polls. what stands out to you? >> well, you want to start with the -- >> democrats. >> we'll start with the democrats. what stands out to me is the
independent voters, that david was just talking about. because sanders is grabbing a large chunk of those independent voters, almost 3-1? >> in iowa he won by 73%. >> and here it looks to be about the same. could be. about the same. >> we can't say for sure how they're voting. >> exactly. >> in terms of turnout, we're seeing a large number. >> we know he has a propensity to take a lot of the independent voters. the fact that so many of the voters are independent is great news for him. >> right. >> on the republican side, the fact that there's such an anti-establishment mood among the republicans. >> a lot of republicans feeling betrayed by the gop. >> about half of them. that is a real playground for donald trump. you know he's going to do well with those voters. the front-runners going in would look at these exit poll numbers and say there's a lot to feel good about right now. >> i think voters on both sides
feel betrayed by the establishment to a degree. hillary clinton is running on her experience, bernie sanders while he's been in washington for a very long time, is running more or less as an insurgent saying the government doesn't work for you. the government is corrupt. the campaign finance system is corrupt. that's, by the way, that's kind of what donald trump is saying. the flip side to this thing. >> michael smirconnish, more exit polls in which electability which hillary clinton has scored low in terms of what voters were thinking about mainly when they go into the voting booth. really what they were looking for was honesty. a and -- >> cares about me. >> bernie's wheel house. >> i think one of the interesting things, sort of off camera, hillary clinton's campaign has been sending information to south carolina. all of the people she's aligning up in terms of endorsements. they're clearly looking ahead to south carolina.
>> she was also in nevada -- excuse me, flint, michigan. >> she'll go to nevada, she'll go to south carolina. they're clearly trying to look past what is going to be a drumming tonight. i think one of the interesting things, looking at the exit polls in terms of the gop, rubio has come in saying he's the consensus candidate, that he can bridge all of the -- >> he's running on electability as well. >> and bridge builder among the strains of the republican party. that's looking like that's something trump will be able to do. he does well with voters across all speck trums. he comes in second. he does well among the evangelicals, higher educated voters, lower income voters. we've seen that previously in the polls, but to see it here with some of these voters voting. >> it's an interesting night, insofar if the predictions come true, the rel story isn't who wins the democratic or republican primary, but the second place finish among the
rs. the data i'm looking at i think tees up quite nicely for john kasich, among others. what's ironic to me is this is an electorate that largely mirrors what you'll get for a general election. the independents play a very large role, 42% according to gallup. not rs and not ds. in new hampshire they get a say and they're probably going to determine the outcome of both the republican and the democratic race. as we look forward in the next couple of primaries, it's really an important night for sanders in particular. >> and most recently jeb bush and chris christie, an awful lot of time in new hampshire. >> the interesting thing about christie to me in all of this is that he started this campaign as the tell it like it is candidate. and then came donald trump. and suddenly if you look at
these early exit polls, that donald trump is now the tell it like it is candidate. and christie not so much. >> we're going to take a quick break. we're standing by for the first raw vote totals to come in on this important primary night. and take a look in that traffic gridlock in merrimack. police cruisers are marking the end of the line, if the cars are ahead of the police cruiser, they can get in to vote. if they're behind, they cannot. a lot more ahead. amazing, amazing night ahead. ♪ ♪ ♪ lease a 2016 lincoln mkx for $399 a month only at your lincoln dealer.
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we're standing by momentarily. we'll get the first real numbers coming in from new hampshire. but look at these long lines. in most of the state, the polls are already closed, but some places are still open for another half hour or so. they may have to extend the polling opportunities for the people. jake and dana are in manchester for us. >> incredibly exciting. the secretary of state has talked about the turnout in new hampshire. and how strong it's expected to be. what exactly is going on in merrimack, which is south of us, in the southern part of new hampshire? >> what's going on now is the traffic pattern was apparently changed in order to try to help with voting. and for some reason it had the
opposite effect. there's a real bottle neck there. at this point, police cruisers are marking the end of the line. we're talking about the line on the road, not the line of people. and right now, everybody on the far side of the police cruiser, you're too late. >> you're out of luck. >> you're out of luck. but the deputy secretary of state of new hampshire says that they're considering, quote, other strategies, and are talking to people inside the polling places. other strategies means because of the problems, perhaps leaving it open later. >> to be clear, this is not only because of the traffic pattern, but because of a strong turnout in the town of merrimack, which is just south of us. to give a little more context, this is a town that hillary clinton won over barack obama in 2008. and it's an area that basically broke even between mitt romney and john mccain in 2008. we have correspondents fanned out across all of the state, at
ballot centers, as well as election hqs. let's go to joe johns who is at a voting precinct in manchester, new hampshire. joe, what's going on? >> reporter: well, this is just one precinct, this is just one ward, in the center of manchester. what i can tell you is bernie sanders has won decisively here in this one place. 61% for bernie sanders, hillary clinton in second place, 38 force hillary clinton. on the republican side, donald trump 48%, and -- i'm sorry, 46% for trump there. second behind him, of course, is cruz with 15%. and in third place was jeb bush. so that is the count here from this one precinct, this one ward in central manchester. of course, it is not indicative of the big picture, but in this
one place, a big win for bernie sanders as well as for donald trump. back to you. >> all right, joe johns in manchester, new hampshire. let's go back to the election center in washington, d.c. wolf blitzer has breaking news. >> we have a key race alert on the democratic side. right now, 1% of the vote is in. these are actual votes. the first votes that have been reported, bernie sanders ahead by 252 votes over hillary clinton. 58%-38%. no votes reported on the republican side. once again, this is very, very early. these are the first real votes. let's go over to john king. show us what's going on in merrimack. this is significant potentially, john. you're familiar with this area. >> let's go back to 2008. let me show you where we're talking about. south of manchester. in the 2008 race in the democratic primary, merrimack is right up here, just above your south of manchester, north of nashua. about 2% of the state
population. she narrowly won in the 2008 race. nashua is important to secretary clinton tonight. hudson over here. again, 2% of the state population. an area she did very well with blue collar traditional democrats and suburbanites. wolf, as jake just noted, it's key in republican politics, too. mitt romney a big win in hudson. again, all of the governors there. all competing down in here. you come back up here to merrimack as well, very important to mitt romney. if you go back in time to the close 2008 republican race, this is it. this is the battle that we're going to see for the center right republicans tonight and for donald trump if he can make inroads. the suburban voters in the southern part of the state, key to the republicans. you see how hard-fought it was in merrimack. and between romney and mccain. two similar in the race in 2008. five or five candidates this time. those people waiting in line,
they matter to hillary clinton and they matter as we try to shake out the center right of the republican race. >> it's pretty significant, though, the deputy secretary of state saying potentially record numbers, and now we're hearing that they may need to keep the polls open longer because of the long lines. >> you can be sure they're on the phone to the state saying, you need to let these people vote. the people there, their intention is clear, if the state says it's getting out of control, if the traffic line's too long, if the police cruiser is there, they'll be calling the state and saying, keep them open. >> anderson, the first real numbers are coming in. we're going to update our viewers. >> let's talk to our commentator, jeffrey, a trump supporter. political commentator van jones. and mayor michael nutter, former mayor of philadelphia. when you see these long lines, i mean, the idea that they would
shut it off, arbitrarily where the police cruiser is -- >> they will find the first guy behind that police cruiser and there's your lawsuit, right there. >> absolutely. >> expect any candidate who doesn't win or perform to say, well, none of my voters, you know, my supporters who were going to come in late, and they were shut out. that's why -- >> as you look at the exit polls, what stands out to you all? >> well, 35% independents, or, you know, in the republican primary. >> lower percentage than the democratic -- >> but still, a lot of -- you know, again, this open rebellion, this civil war in the republican party is -- >> and nearly half of the gop voters are saying they feel betrayed by the party itself. >> correct. this is just unbelievably fertile ground here. i think this is going to be a big night for donald trump. but we'll see.
>> the revolution is real. the revolution is real. >> it's real in new hampshire. >> watch this process go forward. first of all, let's not take anything away from new hampshire. the clintons, god bless them, they went in and they fought very, very hard. they threw the kitchen sink at bernie sanders. they brought in senators. they brought in governors. they brought in icons. they could not stop him apparently. if you look at the thing as it's going down. i think you have a young generation trying to send a signal to the democratic party. these people don't hate hillary clinton. they don't feel heard yet. they're trying to send a signal. in that state, you've got crushing student debt. one of the three worst states for student debt. so i think what you're going to see, when you have this level of participation, this many independents trying to come in and send a signal, the bernie sanders surge is a real thing. >> the question becomes, in nevada, in south carolina, in nevada obviously the democrats,
how big a victory for sanders here, how does that impact nevada? >> there is a big myth that bernie sanders cannot do well in south carolina with the african-americans. bernie sanders can get 35%, maybe 40 prls of the vote in south carolina. listen, part of the thing that's very interesting is when you talk to the younger people, they respect the clintons, but there's no great well of love for the clintons. these people were not even born, some of them, when the clintons were in office. she'll have to work hard for the young black vote like she had to work hard for the young white vote. >> why don't we let the folks in new hampshire vote. and all should be able to vote, whether you're physically with your body in line, or apparently now in your car. everyone should be able to vote. every vote should be counted and every person should have their vote counted. many of these young people weren't alive when the clintons were in office, they definitely
weren't alive when bernie sanders was in office. let's see what's on people's minds. we know from some of the other polling data, the economy. the student loan debt you talked about. just the general sense of what's going on. people have a lot of things on their mind that they're upset about. senator sanders certainly has a message that has resonated with folks. secretary clinton has solutions to those challenges. that's the battle that you're seeing. >> i think if hillary clinton gets one decisive, and i mean blowout victory, maybe in south carolina, or nevada, that really is the proof that she's been sort of evidencing, and suggesting, that he's unelectable. she hasn't had that yet. he's electable in iowa, in new hampshire. she needs the moment to prove, i told you guys, he can't do it nationally. >> let's go back to wolf right now. >> a key race alert. first to the democratic side. 1% of the vote is now in. bernie sanders is ahead by 400 votes or so. 57% to 39%. still very, very early in this
contest. on the republican side, we're finally getting the initial numbers coming in from the republican side as well. 1% of the precincts reporting. donald trump ahead by 300-plus votes. ted cruz and john kasich sort of tied at 11% right now. 9% for marco rubio. 9% for jeb bush. chris christie 7%. carly fiorina 4%, carson 3%. very, very early. donald trump coming out to an initial lead. we're also standing by for more raw vote totals. people continuing to line up to vote in parts of the state. we're closing in on our first chance to project winners tonight as well. once all the polls in the state are closed, that happens right at the top of the hour. we're just getting started.
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of your retirement savings. t. rowe price. invest with confidence. we have another key race alert just coming in right now on the republican side. 1% of the precincts reporting donald trump maintaining an impressive lead. 532 votes ahead of ted cruz. john kasich doing well right now. at 10%. cruz at 11%. bush at 10%. 9% for marco rubio.
7% chris christie. 4% for carly fiorina. 2% for dr. ben carson. there's a battle under way for second place. once again, this is early, 1% of the vote in. trump doing very well. on the democratic side, 2% of the vote is now in. bernie sanders, he's 573 votes ahead of hillary clinton. 54% to 44%. once again, here it's still early. i want to go to brian todd, he's over in hudson, new hampshire, right now, where the lines, i guess they're getting ready to close the polling at the top of the hour. are they extending the opportunity for people to vote, brian? >> reporter: they may do that, wolf. they are ready to close the polls at 8:00. the line has physically thinned out a little bit. but it goes another 60 feet to the tables where you check in. now, what we've learned from the moderator a short time ago is, this is going to be key. they'll station police officers at the ends of the line of cars at 8:00 to mark the close of the vote. anybody beyond that is not going
to be able to vote. still a steady stream of cars is coming in here. they want to try to get all these people in, wolf. the volunteers here have really been scrambling all night long to get these volunteers here. the story of this precinct today, as many places in new hampshire, the undeclared voters. we can come in a little bit here, i can take you toward the desks here where the people check in. the undeclared voters have really been the story here. hundreds of them have come in as undeclared. they've broken one way or the other. it takes the average voter about 35 seconds to vote. what's interesting about this place is, wolf, if you're undeclared and you go one way and you want to remain undeclared, you can reregister at another desk to remain undeclared. the slogan of this state is live for your guy. you can't get more free voting practices than that here in new hampshire. another interesting thing, this is a sample ballot we've got here. there are 30 names running for president on the republican side. 28 on the democratic side. if you pay $1,000 to the
secretary of state of new hampshire, you can run for president in new hampshire. they have got to count all the votes for all these people once these polls close, wolf. >> interesting. a little nugget over there. we'll see what happens at the top of the hour, brian. thank you very much. taking a close look, the initial numbers, 3% of the democratic precincts reporting now. >> very, very early results. these communities in the northern part of the state, they're the ones that voted at midnight last night. what we're watching for really is where most of the people live down here, no surprise early results, concord, the capital city, a little over 3% of the population, surprise with 10% of the vote to see bernie sanders in the lead because this is traditionally more of a liberal part of the state. this down here in manchester, this is the largest of basket of votes in the state. critical to both the democrats and republicans. if this stays light blue, bernie
sanders blue throughout the night, game over. this is where hillary clinton came back -- 33% right now. remember, in 2008, we got up to a certain point, and then we were here for a while. obama looked like he had momentum, and hillary clinton won convincingly in manchester which made up the difference in a very narrow victory statewide. there are other places that were critical, but the votes in manchester were the game for hillary clinton back in 2008. if you want to watch one place tonight, see if this stays bernie sanders, the lighter blue. if it goes back to hillary clinton, you'll know she's still in the hunt. then we go down here. this is merrimack where we're waiting to see the votes. this is where we had lines here. brian todd was just talking to us about hudson down here next to nashua. remember those communities. merrimack and hudson. this is nashua. let's go back in time to 2008. all for hillary clinton. these are traditional blue collar democrats that she was able to win against barack obama
in a three-man race. the big question tonight is, can she win the traditional blue collar democrats in a head-to-head against bernie sanders. >> what about the republican side? >> let's come back to 2016. again, these communities here, the tiny communities who voted last night. so far, the only votes we have so far are from manchester. donald trump winning statewide. let's pop it over to manchester. 25% in so far. 35% for trump. 14% for john kasich. the ohio governor. jeb bush at 11%. marco rubio at 10%. ted cruz at 10%. chris christie at 9%. carly fiorina at 5%. how would the center right lane break, would there be a muddle between those candidates. well, 5, 9, 14. you don't count cruz there. you get to 24. you're going to have at the end of the night, early results suggest that donald trump is on his way. but you're going to have at the end of the night in the kasich,
rubio, bush, fiorina race, that will get you about 50% of the vote which will be the big conversation among the republican stan liestablishment. do the math at hoesm. if trump keeps this red all night, trump is on his way to his first win. >> early lead for donald trump, 2% of the vote now in. he's still maintaining his lead. >> first votes just came in. let's see what the numbers are. statewide with 2%. similar. >> all right. stand by, john. i want to go over to jake and dana in manchester for us right now. very early, guys. but it's beginning to show a little indication of what's going on. >> that's right. very, very early. just 1% or 2% of the votes in. so you can't determine anything statewide. but still, they are in line with what we anticipated based on
donald trump having a good night on the republican side, bernie sanders on the democratic side. >> absolutely. right now it doesn't look like, again, very, very -- >> very, very early. >> a big surprise there. but, really, what we're looking at, and i think the most interesting thing is, even if that does happen, on the republican side, that race for second, who's going to turn out on top, who's going to come in third and fourth. that is -- there's so much drama and there's so much tension. i've been texting the sources in all of those camps. it's really palpable. >> donald trump has been a little bit chasent, at a campaign event last night, for example, as he campaigns across new hampshire, having now suffered a loss in iowa, coming in second there, not first as he hoped he would. let's go to jim acosta at trump headquarters in manchester. it looks like very, very early donald trump may, in fact, have the night he hoped he would have back in iowa. what's the mood there?
>> reporter: absolutely, jake, dana. just to give you an example of what's happening in the room right now, we have all the tvs tuned inside this auditorium here to cnn, and so every time we're up on screen, every time you see the results on the screen behind me, this place starts to cheer. so they're starting to do that right now. they've been doing it every ten minutes or so. so you can definitely feel the excitement building inside this room in manchester. they have a taste for what's about to be announced. they feel like later on this evening, when you talk to the campaign manager, corey lewendowski, he's humble, has his head down, waiting for the results to come in before offering an official response from the campaign. when you talk to high-level people inside the state part of this campaign, they're predicting victory, feeling very good about tonight. as you can hear this crowd behind me, every time cnn comes up on screen and shows those numbers that are starting to come in, they're getting very excited here, jake and dana. >> and the campaign manager for
donald trump, a new hampshire boy, himself. >> he sure is. >> he and his family live in new hampshire. of course, a lot of eyes on marco rubio having finished in a strong third-place finish in iowa. a lot of people wondered if that was going to bring campaign momentum in the so-called establishment lane. mana is at rubio campaign headquarters in manchester, new hampshire. very, very early returns, can't be predictive of a we're going to get the rest of the night. what is the mood at the rubio headquarters? >> reporter: well, the mood is, jake, rubio campaign really believes they're going to end up in the top tier of candidates. that's really sort of a change from earlier in the week last week after iowa when they came out with a head of steam and polls showed them as a clear second place, potential finisher in which they could sort of make the case that they are the candidate that can unite the party establishment and take it to donald trump. what they are seeing here is norton, new hampshire, probably will not be a state that will
w winnow the field, only whittle it further and keep the race going. the rubio campaign also recognizes they can't afford any sort of criticism over missed votes. something that jeb bush has been going after him pretty aggressively on. just now, as the rubio campaign has announced that marco rubio will be returning to the senate tomorrow to cast a vote on north korea's sanctions legislation in order to make sure that he can claim that mantle, foreign policy mantle he's been running on pretty aggressively here. clearly, jake, one of the reasons why this may not be a second-place finish for marco rubio which they hoped for earlier is because of that debate performance on saturday night increasingly they believe the media coverage, relentless media coverage afterwards really impacted his momentum going forward. they still hope to end up in the top tier, but not that first and second-place finish that they initially hoped for after iowa. jake? >> a devastating takedown of
marco rubio at that debate. seeming to possibly have had an impact on his momentum in the state. nobody happier about that perhaps than senator ted cruz who had that strong iowa finish. first place in iowa. sunlen serfaty is at cruz campaign headquarters in hollis, new hampshire. sunlen, senator cruz not necessarily a big public presence this week in new hampshire, but he sure would love to come in top three. >> reporter: that's absolutely right, jake. the mood in the cruz campaign is o one, a very stark contrast in how this campaign was only a week ago going into iowa and taking that iowa victory. much different mood here now. the cruz campaign for a while has been setting their bar low for their performance here tonight. they've been saying all week they hope to come in fourth, anything above that will make them very happy. they'll celebrate that. but just tonight, taking a little shift saying they now expect potentially fourth or
fifth, so lowering expectations a bit more tonight. we do know that senator cruz has had a last-minute schedule change as well. he will speak here later tonight in hollis whenever results come in. he will then travel on to myrtle beach, south carolina, hold an event there tomorrow morning, but then he will come off the campaign trail to do his day job. he will, like senator rubio, return to the senate to cast his vote on the north korea sanctions bill. his wife, heidi, will take his place at an event that was scheduled for spartanburg, south carolina. he will then quickly hit the road back on the campaign trail in south carolina. jake, dana? >> all right, sunlen serfaty at the cruz campaign headquarters in new hampshire. let's go to our colleague, kate bolduan, at a ballot cam in c chichester, new hampshire. kate, what's going on in chichester? >> reporter: let me show you and try to keep it down so i don't distract them. they are mid-count. this is where they hand count
all the ballots here. as you can see on these tables behind me, these are the tables -- the table is counting the democratic ballots. all of the blue ballots. all of the democratic ballots right here. then you have tables over here. pan over here. you can see these pink ballots. this is what they're -- this is where they're counting all the republican ballots. these are very preliminary numbers. they're just starting to count them. they two very methodically working in teams of two. one person calls out the candidate, the other person puts the tally on their sheet. now, i'll tell you, jake, we did get the preliminary turnout numbers from them and they are already showing what they think is a very big turnout so far, but we're mid-count right now. we'll be bringing this to you. >> all right, kate bolduan at the ballot cam in chichester, new hampshire. anderson, back to you in the campaign headquarters in washington, d.c. >> yeah, we are just about three minutes or so away from the top of the hour when the polls are
officially supposed to close, though as you've seen in some places like merrimack where there's that long line of cars no doubt they're going to stay open. if you're in line at this point up until 8:00, you should be allowed to vote in the state. >> right, well, hopefully. we're too used to long lines at polling places in this country, and i think people who got in line to vote ought to probably be able to vote. >> you and david axelrod have been -- our entire panel of analysts over here, michael smerconish, nia-malika henderson, you've been looking at the exit polls. what's been jumping out at you in the last few minutes? >> there's one thing sort of becoming clear to me. that is the muddle in the middle will remain. >> there's not going to be a clearer picture necessarily on the republican side. >> you know, normally what happens in a republican primary is that you have kind of an anointed establishment candidate and then there's kind of a bevy of movement conservatives, right, that this year it's totally flipped and there is
kind of a different movement kind of candidate. you've got, you know, your trump populist, you've got your cruz conservative. and then you have this huge group of establishment people who are trying to figure out the pecking order. >> and the idea that after new hampshire, that establishment sort of center right order was going to be much clearer -- >> ain't going to happen. no, i think the whole circus moves on to south carolina. >> you look at the numbers right now with kasich, 17, again, only 3%, but 12%, 10%, 10%, 9%. >> i think what's likely to happen is a whole bunch of them are going to move down to south carolina. that's good for donald trump. >> yep. >> donald trump may have a ceiling. that ceiling works for him as long as the field is large. so this is not just -- he'll be celebrating if he wins tonight, not just the win, but the lack of clarity among those who might wan to oppose him. >> if you're donald trump, and you do win tonight, you can say, look, i came in second in iowa, and now i've won new hampshire. that certainly bode well moving
forward. >> totally. >> yeah, absolutely. >> that's right. i mean, south carolina, that would be a good state for him in many ways, at least he's been leading in some of the polls down there. again, if you have all of these splitting whether it's the evangelical vote or any other vote, you got jeb bush down there, for instance, saying he's the one to kind of defend the military, it's a very military state in terms of a lot of bases. so, yeah i mean, that debate i think we'll see -- >> i'm wondering if the candidate within the muddle who has the most to lose tonight is marco rubio because he did deliver that victory speech for his third-place finish in iowa. it seemed like he had a head of steam, then, of course, came last saturday's debate and perhaps we're going to see some of the residual impact of him being on the loop. >> he had to distinguish himself this evening. that was the goal of their campaign. >> get past it. >> to get over that. >> and a lot of establishment -- a lot of these establishment republicans were on the runway ready to go for marco rubio if he came through tonight. >> top of the hour, let's go to
wolf. wolf? all right, guys, thanks very much. we're getting ready right at the top of the hour, all the polls in new hampshire were closed. we will be ready to make projections in this race for the presidency of the united states. let's go to the breaking news. cnn makes two projections in new hampshire. cnn projects that donald trump will be the winner of the new hampshire republican primary. we also predict that bernie sanders will be the winner of the democratic primary in new hampshire. there you see the winner, donald trump, the republican primary winner, bernie sanders we project will be the democratic winner. we make that projection on the basis of the exit poll information we have received. we also make that projection on the actual numbers. the actual votes that have already been tallied. all of the polls in those states, in the states are now closed. let's take a look at the pick hers right now from donald trump ad