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tv   The O Reilly Factor  FOX News  February 7, 2016 5:00pm-6:01pm PST

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all going to be close to each other for second, third, and fourth place. >> thanks for coming in. as a professional pollster, bringing us some fresh stuff that we could look at about the issues, not about the people, which was really interesting. about the candidates, i should say. that's going to do it for us. "outnumbered," noon eastern tomorrow. look, mom. no hands. technology is changing our world. driverless cars will transform commutes. >> people are going to be reading the paper. >> already robots run some hotels. techies have changed election campaigns. >> a slick hollywood tv ad has its limits. >> and now some republicans say we've caught up. >> that's the power of technology. >> technology totally has changed entertainment. >> you saved my life. >> tada! >> this is amazing. this is real. >> imagine that. like feeling that. >> these young people plan to fix education. >> technologies are evolving so
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rapidly and schools can't keep up. >> the future is beginning to be full of surprises. >> politicians often fight the future. >> ridiculous and it's grotesque. >> you say it's exciting. some people say this is creepy. >> and i don't disagree in any way. but it's still happening. >> exciting or creepy? the tech revolution is now. i assume many of you, maybe most of you own one of these smart phones. because of these, political campaigns today are different. >> we're volunteers with the ted cruz campaign. >> door knocking is old, but the way steve and debbie do it now is new. they are at this door, only because their phones told them the people who live here might vote for ted cruz. >> we have set out the objective at the outset of the campaign to
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run the most data-driven, data-analytic campaign in the history of politics. >> obama did that both times he ran. >> the obama campaign had a secret weapon it used to defeat mitt romney, a highly technical sophisticated data mining operation. >> beyond anything that modern political campaigns have seen. >> the campaign manager for the obama campaign said the biggest institutional advantage they had over the romney campaign was its use of data. >> emily eakin studies how data influences politics. >> many republican insiders tended to be very exclusive and a little bit close-minded when it came to using new methodologies. however, after 2012, that changed. >> they are a super bowl team we ought to respect deeply. >> the obama campaign tested everything. they said they conducted more than 500 different experiments on their website. when they had a picture of president obama with an inspirational quote, they raised significantly more money than when they had the same page, but just a picture of obama.
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>> obama's data operation was lead by harper reid. >> the obama campaign's real heroes, harper reid, the technology mastermind behind obama's win. >> i'm an incredible person.ed, technology mastermind behind obama's win. >> i'm an incredible person. this is a very straight forward thing here. >> you got credit for obama's victory. >> i was just a cog. i just looked differently so the media didn't know what to do with me. >> the media same the romney campaign was high-tech. >> on election day, the campaign will activate a sophisticated system for tracking their get out the vote efforts. >> but we know how that story ends. romney had four people working in data analytics. obama had 50. and he had something called -- >> project narwol. >> a data program with a code name. >> he named it narwhal. >> we wanted a code name that would be fun to say. it's kind of a joke, really. once it leaked, nobody knew what
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to do. suddenly there was this mythical narwhal. then everyone was like, what's narwhal? >> meanwhile, romney's team had orica, a database name for another sea, a data another sea creature. on election day, it crashed. >> you literally have 35,000 volunteers whose job is to get out the vote, wandering like zomb zombies. have the republicans caught up? >> if they haven't caught up, it's their fault. >> she's definitely considering ted, which is fantastic. >> we have caught up, says the cruz campaign. >> i went and bought a copy of obama's campaign manager's book, the audacity to win, gave it to our senior team. said we are going to nakedly and shamelessly emulate this. that's very much the plan. >> he made it very clear that this was an area, the use of data and analytics, that he would not fall behind in. >> kris wilson runs cruz's technology operation. >> why do you think the democrats were ahead of the republicans? >> the silicon valley environment. it tends to be more vulnerable. the founders of google have been
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aggressive about taking some of their technologies and applying them and helping the democrats use them. >> we're going to be working in west des moines. >> each volunteer's phone tells him where to go. >> see your neighborhood. you're in here for a reason. you've caucused before as a republican. >> earlier at headquarters, steven explained how it works. >> we click on each individual house. it pops up. the names of the people living there. their ages. we hit their name. it gives us a script to go by question-wise. >> can ted cruz count on your support at caucus in february? >> i haven't quite made up my mind. >> the phone tells steven what to say next. >> is ted a candidate you're considering? >> very much so. >> totally different than what we used to do. in the past, if i had my little piece of paper with the thing on there, i might be able to write down. but this is instantaneous. >> here, the volunteer's phone
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told him don't knock on this guy's door. the man was curious why. >> i'm a democrat. >> that's why you're not on our app. >> the data determined that knocking would have been a waste of volunteers' time and the campaign's money. they know a lot about each voter. >> thank you, bye-bye. >> if they subscribe to this magazine or watch this tv show, then you know they're more likely to vote for ted? >> that's two factors of 50,000 to 70,000. >> they even know what you eat. >> for someone who buys arugula, they tend to be more democratic. someone who buys iceberg lettuce tend to be more republican. trucks tend to be driven by republicans. democratic cars, volvos. >> how do you know this? >> this is information on the open market. >> there are companies that consume enormous amounts of consumer data. based on transactions that you and i make. whether we opened a store loyalty card. whether we subscribe to a magazine. all of this is logged when you
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get a knock on your door from canvassers. the message you receive is likely informed by this kind of data analytic. >> do voters mind being targeted because a campaign has specific data on them? >> that's the scary thought. >> use every tool we can because we have to defeat those people. >> the corporate world has done this for years. >> one day an angry father showed up at a target store and asked to speak to the manager. the manager came out and the father said you have been spending my high school age daughter ads and coupons for baby cribs and diapers. she's in high school. you're encouraging her to get pregnant. the manager just felt terrible. he said i'm so sorry. >> but one week later -- >> the manager called the father back to apologize again, and the father said, actually, i owe you an apology. i just spoke with my daughter. my teenage daughter. it turns out she's pregnant. >> target knew before dad did. >> target had identified 25 different products, that when people start to buy those things
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in combination with each other, it means that they're likely pregnant. >> ted cruz for president. how may i help you? >> the cruz campaign says it knows even more. what your personality is like. >> we are doing things that no one else is doing. >> like? >> like the use of personality modelling. >> personality modelling tells chris and his team -- >> who's going to vote, how they're going to vote, and what issues they care about. >> chris shows us the database that tells him what voters care about. >> they respond to different colors. they respond to different pictures. >> so to reach personalities, the campaign determines to be more traditional. they use blue or neutral tones. >> we use words like alarmed, vulnerable, authority. >> so your foot soldier goes to his door. they know what buttons to push. >> they do. it's different from when the male or female comes to the door. we know where they are on moral issues. on immigration. where they may be on gun rights. >> not just where they are, but
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why. >> maybe one person supports the second amendment because when they were a child, they went hunting with their grandfather. so for them, it brings back nostalgia, a sense of family. if that's the case, you can craft a message that hits the why they care about it. if you're a single mom. if you're carrying a revolver in your purse because you don't want to get mugged, a duck hunting ad is not going to do a thing to connect with you. so just on the second amendment, we have a dozen different messages. we have a cruise app that thousands of people have downloaded on to their phones. >> the obama campaign did that, too. >> by signing up for the app, they were able to identify the friends of the supporters and would send messages to their supporters saying hey, would you click this button to share with this friend? and it reached about five million people. >> and having friends talk to friends is apparently most
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preswasive. >> the best way to connect with a voter is not through a tv ad, although that helps. but to hear why a person is important to them -- >> we've made it a game, so we have grass roots activists competing to spread the word. >> reach out to ten of your friends today. if you do so, you'll get a thousand points and you're only 900 points from making the next level. >> what do you get from points? you can't buy anything with them. >> you get badges. you get to move up the ranks and compete about who can be the best ted cruz. >> this motivates people? >> it absolutely does. >> there are some that are always the way up to leader and patriot and i'm working my way there. >> my producer back there tricked me into putting it on my phone. so now my friends are going to have their privacy invaded by you? >> absolutely not. >> however, by 2012, obama supporters did have their privacy invaded. >> you may not know much about the campaign and how much it knew about you.
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>> obama's campaign is watching you. sounds like orwell. >> i don't remember any ire, but i do remember a lot of people who wanted to volunteer for the campaign. innovation doesn't work without it being accessible. >> but people were very uncomfortable. as a result, facebook decided to shut down this feature. >> sounds like ted cruz is doing something pretty close. >> the difference is this time they're telling you that they are going through your friend list and they ask for your permission and they tell you everything they collect. >> shouldn't we be nervous that our candidates are spying on us? >> some people feel it's a little manipulative. that campaigns are trying to shape behavior, trying to tell you what you want to hear. >> this is sleazy. it just lets you pander to certain people. give them what they want. >> i'm talking to you about common core. the only thing you care about is foreign policy, defeating isis, making sure the iran treaty is thrown out on the first day in office, then i've done a complete disservice to you as a voter because you don't know where ted cruz stands. >> despite running fewer commercials than other
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candidates, cruz, by using data to target potential supporters and then convincing those people to go to caucuses, won a surprising victory in iowa. >> that's the power of technology, is it amplifies the voice of each of us. a slick hollywood tv ad has its limits. using technology to communicate with, to empower the grass roots. that's the key to winning in politics in the 21st century. >> winning in politics. i see where that's important to him, but let's remember that in politics, there's just one winner. the good news is that in the rest of life, the best of life, we have choices. everyone can win. and that's what the rest of this show is about. coming up, the robot car. this is exciting and scary. >> but next, how youtube lets people make money doing what they love. pressure.
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three years ago, amateur baker rosanna panzino decided to post videos of her adventures in
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baking. i'd call this a cute hobby, except that today 5 million people subscribe to her youtube channel and her videos have been seen more than a billion times. i'm envious. i've worked all my life. i never reach nearly that many people. >> you have more twitter followers than i do. >> how come you're the most popular baking show? >> i have no clue. that is a good question for everybody. >> she did not plan to bake for a living. she started working odd jobs in the movie business. >> i worked at a p.a. i worked as an extra. >> she got a job as a dancer in the tv show "glee." >> there wasn't a career? >> being a union dancer wasn't fulfilling for me. i wanted to do more. >> so she posted baking videos that she posted at home. >> it's going to take about a half-hour, so i'm going to play some super mario world! >> it was just a creative outlet for me. >> she told her agent about it and he wasn't happy. >> my agent really made it easy
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for me. >> he told her -- >> if you don't stop making youtube videos, we're going to drop you. >> why did you decide youtube? >> i was getting more and more comments. and the community kept growing. it was the first time i ever went to target and i got recognized by a gal who worked at the store. she said i love the content you're creating. it makes me and my daughter so happy. you inspired her to start baking. and i was trying to tell my agent that there's value here. this is amazing. this is real. >> comedian glozel green is another performer who caught on youtube. >> youtube saved my life. it was not going that well. because i'm not that funny. on the internet, if a couple minutes, they're like oh, she's great. >> she even got to interview the president. her silly youtube channel makes her $50,000 a year. this swedish guy makes $12 million just by talking while
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playing video games. >> no, no, drink the coffee. >> he leads forbes list of highest earning. rosanna is number eight. she makes $2 million. >> it's such a good platform for people who are starting out who want to create content and don't have investors. >> youtube keeps about 40% of the money? >> uh-huh. and that's fine. >> this is a new way to discover unknown talent. >> journalist steve napper covers the music business. >> youtube is the great equalizer right now. it's like if you have an idea and you're talented or not talented, and you can put something up on youtube. >> justin bieber got his start posting this video. the youtube numbers grew. and then a record label called. >> every now and then, youtube creates a star. >> it used to be there were gate keepers. some fat guy with a cigar says you've got to please me, maybe
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sleep with me to get the record. >> they dominated the record business for many, many years and they were the gate keepers. >> because it costs tens of thousands of dollars. >> right. costs money to market your album. costs money to put your song on the radio. today you can get your album to millions of people around the world with just the click of a button. >> they're not asking for permission. >> max runs a conference that showcases new technology and new artists. >> look at lindsay sterling. she plays the violin. imagine her showing up in one of the big music studios in new york saying hey, please, can i get a record deal? i'm really good at the violin. >> but she did. she was turned down. >> that's right. so all of a sudden she becomes a youtube sensation. fills stadiums now. you can't argue with that. that is when the crowd decides. >> i think that people are very smart. i think they're very intuitive and they pick up on when you love what you're doing, they can see it.
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>> this direct connection to the audience threatened the music industry. >> the record industry's traditional model has been selling pieces of plastic that contain all the music. and hundreds and hundreds of millions of records were being sold all the way up to the britney spears and backstreet boys era and people were making money hand over fist. >> not anymore. >> not anymore. in the late '90s, suddenly the internet kicks in. >> how many mp3s you have on your computer? >> about 6,000 or 7,000. >> napster came in and allowed people to share all the music in the world for free and that was a threat to the business model. >> the music industry sued. >> they started by suing napster and others. >> so they freaked out and sued these people and sued their own customers sometimes. >> they sued a 13-year-old girl and her family. it turned out to be some pretty bad publicity for the music industry in the end. >> appetite for self-destruction. now the record labels license their music to streaming
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services like apple, spotify, pandora. >> these changes now happen so fast. >> how does a musician make money? >> going on tour. >> doesn't that mean that fewer people can make a living this way? not everybody can go on tour. >> it does. it's a very diminished business than what it was ten or 15 years ago. however, there are many opportunities for younger bands to get big. >> and the audience wins, too. >> we have all the music we could ever want for free or for a minimal price on our fingertips. >> it's the golden age for consumers right now. >> but it's not yet a golden age for education. next we'll show you how these techies plan to fix that, without government. and get my number which matches my dr. scholl's custom fit orthotic inserts. now i get immediate relief from my foot pain. my knee pain. find a machine at
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clearly needs to be faster, better, cheaper is education. and the tech revolution has plans for that, too. >> where are we at with this? where we at? >> these young people have gathered to hold a hack-a-thon called hacking edu. it's usually a weekend-long gathering where computer nerds try to invent something better. >> hack sounds like a criminal enterprise where you're breaking into people's computers. >> what we mean is build. >> hack just means build? >> exactly. hack means build something quickly without worrying about polish or making it look pretty. >> this hackathon happened because alex corey e-mailed 50 friends who were frustrated by the education system. >> alex always had this grand vision of we would have this huge event with over a thousand people. >> and you got this. >> and we kdid. >> we had people fly in from india, from singapore, from
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kuala lumpur, from all over the world because they were so frustrated and so fed up and said finally, a chance for me to actually express my ideas. a chance for me to actually build and do something about these issues that i see. >> what he sees is something that both the left and right complain about. >> our educational system has failed our children. >> this is the fight we have to win for our kids. >> for years, politicians promised to fix education. >> we're going to cut out unnecessary forms, applications, red tape. >> when that dream disappeared, ronald reagan promised. >> the national campaign to restore excellence in american education. >> when students still performed miserably, another president promised -- >> no child will be left behind. >> but billions in top-down tax dollars accomplished nothing. >> there's a lot to be pissed off about. >> at hackathons, young people compete for days to try to create something unique. >> boom. imagine that. like feeling that. >> people work all weekend? >> oh, yeah.
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>> 36 straight hours. they're eating junk food. drinking soda and red bull. and you're up all night having this crazy competition happening is really what pushes innovation and pushes the envelope. >> why can they create better stuff in this big room with a bunch of other hackers that they can't do in their basement? >> when you get all these programs together in one place, the energy is there. >> for three days, everyone competed to invent a better high-tech education. some build iphone ads. this group worked on a robot. >> kids can learn how to program and use real life robotics and hardware. >> the hacking education winner was this. it's kind of like uber for tutors. it lets you compare tutors and hire them anywhere. >> we have a list of all the tutors nearby. >> meeting with potential investors. >> is this real? >> i still can't believe it. >> think about it like sports for nerds. >> nerds who don't just talk about new ways to educate.
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>> we actually built it and implemented it. they said that's great, let's take this code and push it live. >> many people here wanted to improve college education, but they learned that the university resists new ideas. >> i would go and pitch them to my professors. they're like, those are great ideas. but good luck with the red tape. >> technologies are evolving so rapidly and schools can't keep up. >> you're never going to get there with all this bureaucracy. >> so it's the people my age who are in charge, holding you people back. >> it's the mentality, this is how we've always done it. this is how we're going to continue to do it. they don't have this start-up mentality. >> higher education is powerful because it owns the power of credential. but today, most graduates don't get jobs that require a degree. >> the best i do is working for $10 an hour at a grocery store. >> david morris got top grades at a top college, and then got a
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masters degree. >> i'm still living with my parents. >> after paying $100,000 to signal others, i have a college degree. >> why this expensive plumage? why this expensive signaling mechanism? >> zack dropped out of college to create something he started praxis, a company that finds students actual work. >> they're practically handing out good jobs and they can't find good, hard working, talented young people with college degrees to fill them. >> praxis got mitch a job. ten months later, he's making more than $100,000 a year. >> i'm creating very real value for this company. >> a lot of our business partners do offer full-time positions. >> even if they don't, the students don't drown in loans. it's just one college disrupted. a company called labster offers a virtual alternative. >> our students gather evidence and analyze it in the lab in
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order to solve the case. >> and every day on the web, there's another new alternative. >> do people still need a college degree? >> if you want to be a doctor, a lawyer, a professor. some of the fields are highly credentialed. you're going to have to need one. if you want to run a business, if you want to take control of your own life, build your own career, you really don't need one. >> that's a good thing. it gives us more choices. next, the best way to predict who will be the next president. will it be him, her, him? later in the show, the robot car. look, ma, no hands. pport regulay and includes b vitamins to help convert food to energy. mmmmm, these are good! nice work, phillips! the tasty side of fiber, from phillips'. we were in a german dance group. i wore lederhosen. so i just started poking around on ancestry. then, i decided to have my dna tested through ancestry dna. it turns out i'm scottish.
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rick perry led the polls. then herman cain. then newt. but they didn't win. >> i accept your nomination for president. >> maybe instead of polls, we should pay more attention to pundits. >> we're going to win by a landslide. >> pundits get things wrong constantly, too. >> romney big, not even close. >> turns out pundits are not terribly accurate. >> economist robin hanson studies an alternative. there's something about putting money on the line that cuts through. people often make bold statements. >> you're talking. you're pontificating. something challenges you and says you want to bet on that? all of us. as soon as somebody says you want to bet on that? you pause and go, do i really believe that? if you put your money where your mouth is, you are more careful. and when lots of people put their mouth on the line, on sites called prediction markets, like this one in the united states, this one in europe, the resulting odds are more accurate than anything else.
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unfortunately, they post these odds in confusing gambling formulas. so my producer and i created this site. electi that states the odds more clearly. and who's winning? >> we're going to win. we're going to win. >> despite donald trump's confidence and lead in all national polls for the republican nomination, marco rubio is well ahead in the betting. trump is second. ted cruz third. for the democratic nomination. the betters say hillary is the overwhelming favorite and she's also favored to become president. if you think these odds are wrong, you can make money by being right. this was the debate-watching party hosted by political prediction site predict it. people bet on candidates during the debate. it's like a stock market. and like stocks, candidates' chances change constantly. >> we get traders who are
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tweeting back and forth about who's making the most money. >> i put in rubio. i was making my bets before i got here. >> i'm a junky. political junky. so i love it. >> this is my fantasy baseball. >> if you can play. if you think trump is more likely than this to become president, place a bet. if he wins, you'll make about $10 for every dollar you bet. >> yeah, i'm actually doing pretty well. maybe tripled or quadrupled what i put in. >> it literally pays to be right. >> it turns out that competitive prediction markets like this are much more accurate than polls. >> consistently, test after test, the markets forecasted elections more accurately than polls. >> in november, ben carson surged to first place in polls. but the betters knew better. the odds had him at just 9%. now he's below 1%. in 2012, when these candidates surged to first place in polls, the prediction markets correctly said no. romney will win. it also correctly predicted results in most every state.
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in 2012, every state but one. >> the market is consistently as accurate or more accurate than the other sources. you can take that to the bank. >> bets on the prediction market in trade even predicted when saddam husse saddam hussein would be captured. the odds on that date tripled in price. >> when saddam hussein was found hiding at the bottom of the hole. >> in-trade accurately predicted "american idol" winners, and oscar winners. >> thank you so much. thank you. >> part of what makes prediction markets work is the wisdom in crowds. some people betting here may be fools making bad bets, but the crowd of people probably won't. you see that on the tv show "who wants to be a millionaire." >> can i ask the audience? >> you want to ask the audience? >> contestants can ask the audience, or an expert. >> the experts do pretty well. they get the answer right 65% of the time. but the audience gets it right 91% of the time.
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>> yes! $50,000! >> political prediction markets have a long history. 100 years ago, they were popular. >> they weren't really legal for the most part, but they reported. newspapers reported on them because it's what they had to report on them. these were bookies, i guess. >> yes. >> in fact, there was more money trading back and forth in the election markets, and the stock markets around 1900, so this was a big deal. >> and the predictions were pretty accurate. >> of course. >> they correctly predicted fdr's lix. and melection. and mckinley's. and many more. but sadly, our government often bans gambling. here officials take an axe to casino equipment. >> turns out that all of our familiar financial institutions were once banned as illegal gambling. stock markets were banned. commodity markets were banned. insurance was banned. so we have a long history of having things banned. >> in-trade was banned, too. the world no longer benefits from its predictions. >> recently, however, the government granted a few
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exceptions to its bans. >> how come these guys got a yes and the rest got a no? >> we don't know. >> the bureaucrats keep changing their minds. 12 years ago, they asked hanson to create a market. >> the department of defense heard that prediction markets were interesting. that they were doing powerful thing. and they said show us. show us it work for stuff we do. >> we were going to predict events in the middle east. so immediately people started to bet on -- we never got that far. >> it is ridiculous and it's grotesque. >> the idea of people betting on when there might be terrorism horrified politicians. >> i think this is unbelievably stupid. >> it needs to be stopped immediately. >> and it was. the very next day. >> the secretary of defense in front of congress declares the project dead. >> so the pentagon is deprived of predictions that might save lives. >> people are so wary of what if we bet on death? >> so politicians protect us from truth. >> politicians are very adept at
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watching out for things that might bother voters, and just keeping them away. >> what might they keep away next? coming up, the robot car. this will save lives. if government allows it. try coo. it releases a cooling sensation in your mouth and throat. zantac works in as little as 30 minutes. nexium can take 24 hours. try cool mint zantac. no pill relieves heartburn faster. i'm bushed! i've been on my feel alyea me too. excuse me...coming through! ride the gel wave of comfort with dr. scholls massaging gel insoles. they're proven to give you comfort. which helps you feel more energized ...all day long. i want what he has. i'i like to think of myself as more of a control... enthusiast. mmm, a perfect 177-degrees. and that's why this road warrior rents from national. i can bypass the counter and go straight to my car. and i don't have to talk to any humans, unless i want to.
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and i don't. and national lets me choose any car in the aisle. control. it's so, what's the word?... sexy. go national. go like a pro. e*trade is all about seizing opportunity. and i'd like to... cut. so i'm gonna take this opportunity to direct. thank you, we'll call you. evening, film noir, smoke, atmosphere... bob... test milk it. e*trade is all about seizing opportunity.
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look, ma. no hands. are you ready for the driverless car? i got to try one. this is exciting. and scary. scary because it's not natural to just sit here and let the car drive. this car is the tesla s, the closest thing to a totally driverless car that consumers can buy now. i had to leave my state to test it. new york's archaic laws forbid taking both hands off the wheel. but once we were out of new york, the tesla rep had me turn on the autopilot. so i'm doing nothing. the car is driving itself. and this truck is coming. i'm scared! it takes time to get comfortable with having the car make decisions. in this tunnel, i was especially nervous. >> terrifying. breathing heavily here. it turned out i was right to be scared. [ bleep ] now, what happened there? the car drifted left.
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my left wheel hit the side of the tunnel. >> when you pulled the wheel, you disengaged the autopilot. >> you've got to tell me that. >> touching the brake or wheel takes the car out of autopilot. but once i learned how the car works, i found not driving is pretty cool. though weird. >> th this is not natural, but it does work. it drives itself. and it's safer than me. >> safety is the big reason we should welcome these cars. 94% killed in car crashes are killed because of human error. the computer in this car would prevent many of those deaths. here, the sensors see that i'm coming up on another car. i will run into this car. it will slow me down. it already has. if i want to change lanes, just signal. >> it will change lanes without me. yes, it just does! and it stays in the lane. then we sped up to 65 miles per hour and the road turned sharply.
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that was scary! i didn't think it would turn, but it does! this car is only partly driverless. it can't go on and off highways, for example. but soon, it will do everything. people are going to be reading the paper. >> actually, not a good idea, john. i'd appreciate it if you take it off. >> he stopped me because state laws say the driver must always be in control. what if i go to sleep? >> you'd be breaking the law. you need to remain in control of the vehicle at all times. >> but soon, if regulators it, technology will let us relax in our cars, and that could change our lives. it will save lives. and create more relaxing commutes. >> now i'm in stop and go traffic and the car will go without my -- yes, it will. also, there will be fewer traffic jams, because robots react quickly to danger. cars will be able to drive closer together. so more cars will fit on the same road. it will be great, says economist
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james miller. i could imagine an ad saying computers crash, you're going to trust your life to a machine? >> people know that machines are better than people at a lot of tasks. >> still, the idea of some machine, trusting it with my life. >> well, our brains are basically machines. but optimized for going 50 miles an hour. >> the military is making all kinds of robots. they call this one the wild cat. they will deliver supplies or rescue soldiers. some robots will be used to kill. already robots have changed lives at some japanese hotels. >> welcome to the hotel. >> this dinosaur is a front desk clerk chosen to appeal to kids. they have all types. another robot stores your luggage for you. this one takes it to the room. when you get there there is no key it recognizes your face through facial recognition software. this says money. this hotel is cheaper than other
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hotels nearby. it is cheaper because it employs fewer people. fewer receptionists will get jobs here. military robots will replace soldiers. driverless cars put truck drivers out of work. maybe i will lose my job to this guy. >> i will take your job, john. i am smarter than you. >> people are going to lose their jobs. they will have nothing to do. >> some people will miss their jobs but other people will get jobs. >> whenever there has been innovation experts predict employment will decline. but the experts can't image the new jobs. >> wal-mart will undoubtedly fire some truck drivers because the trucks drive themselves but it will cause wal-mart to lower their prices. >> those savings will bring new opportunity. don't believe it? remember 200 years ago most americans worked on farms. >> 90 percent used to work on farms now less than 2 percent. you think all of those people would be out of work. >> a lot of people lost their
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jobs for a little bit of time but they found new jobs and found jobs doing things more productive. >> we forget how hard it was to produce food without tractors. farm work was long and dangerous. >> we saw the car displacing the horses buggies and we don't limit that passage. the black smiths of old probably had to figure out something else to do. they all found jobs. the economy evolved. it's an evolving ecosystem. >> but some don't want it to evolve. the cab drivers demand the government protect their jobs. >> what do we want? >> leg ratiregulations. >> plush fromming toilets and pluming take away my job. >> now we have inventory now what am i going to do with it? >> there are many who are taking our jobs. >> unfortunately in america
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today there are people who want to do what he wants to do, stop progress. will they win? or will our future be faster, better, cheaper? that's next. but cigna is there for you. literally. just download our free coach by cigna app. for personalized programs from a team of health coaches to help you achieve your wellness goals. cigna. together, all the way. frequent heartburn brand in america. i hope you like it spicy! get complete protection with the purple pill. the new leader in frequent heartburn. that's nexium level protection. then you might beformance laptogearcentric.e bff? right now, all pcs and printers are on sale! like this hp laptop for just $199.99! office depot officemax. gear up for great®.
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nobody's hurt, but there will you totastill be pain. new car. it comes when your insurance company says they'll only pay three quarters of what it takes to replace it. what are you supposed to do? drive three quarters of a car? now if you had liberty mutual new car replacement, you'd get your whole car back. i guess they don't want you driving around on three wheels. smart. with liberty mutual new car replacement, we'll replace the full value of your car. see car insurance in a whole new light. liberty mutual insurance. i am a lot of things. i am his sunshine. i am his advocate. so i asked about adding once-daily namenda xr to his current treatment for moderate to severe alzheimer's. it works differently. when added to another alzheimer's treatment,
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it may improve overall function and cognition. and may slow the worsening of symptoms for a while. vo: namenda xr doesn't change how the disease progresses. it shouldn't be taken by anyone allergic to memantine, or who's had a bad reaction to namenda xr or its ingredients. before starting treatment, tell their doctor if they have, or ever had, a seizure disorder, difficulty passing urine, liver, kidney or bladder problems, and about medications they're taking. certain medications, changes in diet, or medical conditions may affect the amount of namenda xr in the body and may increase side effects. the most common side effects are headache, diarrhea, and dizziness. he's always been my everything. now i am giving back. ask their doctor about once-daily namenda xr and learn about a free trial offer at >> to close the show let's celebrate the much abused group, the people who lead the tech revolution. i am talking about nerds.
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>> i am a nerd. i am here tonight to stand up for the rights of other nerds. >> it's about time. nerds make our world better. >> some people call you all nerds, and we hear that you claim that label with pride. >> this was at a stanford graduation where bill and melinda gates go. >> well, so do we. >> nerdy numbings is what she calls her baking show. >> why nerdy numb mes? >> i was called a nerd in high school. i wanted to give empowerment to the word and look at what we considered nerdy. math, science, video games. >> people who like those, they are not the cool kids at the party. >> now they are. >> there's a think well technology is the future. technology is now. when people's grandmothers are on facebook liking every one of our status updates. technology is here today.
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>> new technology change is crippling. >> do you have a particularly useful app in your phone? >> every two weeks it changes. >> my apps don't change every two weeks? >> but you are not 13. these young people are previewing what we will use in a year. you and i aren't allowed to understand. we have to look at it and say, your music is too loud. technology and innovations will always prevail. it will change our society hopefully for the better. >> not if government stops them. the ride sharing service uber offers better service. but they had to over come that and government rules. >> it was legally questionable. but people did it anyway. life was better, faster, cheaper and cooler with these apps. >> but that success also shows the danger inpare -- inherent ir rules. uber was popular or rich before regulators noticed. by then uber had millions of customers and billions of
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dollars so they could bully the politicians back. >> tell mayor don't strand new york. >> they defeated mayan tie progress mayor by telling customers no cars, blame the politicians. >> de blasio is backing off. >> it is good that uber won, but normal invasions, ones who must build big things and get government permission before they can build, they may be crushed by today's business rules. crushed before they can make our lives better. >> we don't need all of these politicians. >> without too many rules and politicians. >> the future is going to be full of surprises, full of awesome things that almost fall from the sky. we can't even image it today. >> look, ma, no hands. >> no ways to commute, to predict future events, to teach. >> a friendly mind reading robot tutor. >> discover music. >> the tech level luges will make live --
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>> better, cheaper, more abundant and available than before. >> i can't wait. and that's our show. thank you for watching. >> i can remember being a little kid and asking my father what it was. >> a century-old mystery. >> he said, "it's from the white house." and i go, "talking about d.c. white house?" i was just stunned. >> the white house neither confirms nor denies... >> what do you see? >> gold! [ laughs ] >> let's investigate! >> i scrape the paint layers down to the wood. >> and when you heard what it was worth? >> and sold! [ door creaks ] [ wind howls ] [ thunder rumbles ] [ bird caws ] >> i'm jamie colby, and today i'm in boston to meet an heir


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