rachel and i welcome gene robinson and nicolle wallace. nicole, as we round the turn into having real results, i don't know why we're all staring -- as we round the turn into having results out of south carolina, fourth place is not fatal, but fifth may be. >> yeah, fifth is a -- fourth isn't so good. i think after tonight we'll be talking about a three-person race and each lane will be represented. i think we will at the end of the night have an outsider horse. i think we'll have a very conservative horse and establishment horse. what we're already reporting probably gives you a good sense of who that is. the rubio campaign is feeling great about the early signs, feel that they're outperforming everything. they think by the end of the night they'll have a great story to tell about electability, what you alluded to. i want to talk about that debate moment because campaigns are never judged by their stumbles, but they stumbles, they're judged by how they sort of recoup afterward. george w. bush lost new hampshire by 19 points. he went on to
