as the "washington post" matt o'brien writes, the only question is whether venezuela's government or economy will completely collapse first. there are other oil states not quite as challenged as these, but most of them with problems, the answer, economists say is, to embrace structural reforms, wean economies away from natural resources and invest in other industries in human capital. that's hard to do at any time, but especially hard when your country is in free fall. in any event, oil-producing nations have government that's desperately need cash simply to pay salaries and meet basic obligations. that means they will pump out as much oil as they can which further adds to supply and keeps prices low. welcome to the new world of cheap oil and perilous politics. for more, go to cnn.com/freed, and read my "washington post" column this week, and let's get started. ♪ >>> what to make of iowa and what to make of who will win tuesday in new hampshire. what does it all mean? let's get right to presidential politics with a terrific panel. david frum has gotten a lot of attention for a rece

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she joins us from washington. what are the latest details? >> reporter: we know justice scalia went to texas on friday for a hunting trip at a secluded rezorts. he had dinner on friday night. the ranch owner had been speaking to reporters and said scalia was entertaining and engaged throughout the dinner. around 9:00 p.m. he said he had a long week and wanted to get a good sleep. a separate source tells evan perez that scalia said he wasn't feeling well on friday. the next day the range owner checked on scalia because he didn't show up for breakfast and lunch and found him in bed lying in repose. the sheets weren't wrinkled, no signs of foul play. it appears he died in his sleep of natural causes and the family has reportedly requested for him not to have an autopsy. >> in terms of political fallout, a fight brewing over the successor between the white house and republicans. any timetable as to how it could play out? >> likely it will be within the next month we'll hear about a nomination based on previous nominations coming from president ob

>>> hello, i'm wolf blitzer in washington. we want to welcome our viewers in the united states and around the world, wherever you're watching, thank you very much for joining us. we start in new hampshire where the presidential candidates here in the united states are making their final push to the voters just one day before that state's first in the nation primary. hillary clinton and vermont senator bernie sanders are on the campaign trail. sanders tempering expectations with a big lead in the polls. former president bill clinton has taken the stage in manchester, new hampshire. we're also awaiting the start of a sanders rally new hampshire, as well. on the republican side, donald trump relishing his front-runner status saying he wouldn't be happy with anything but a win in the granite state. the republican candidates, they're out, spread out across the state today. they're jockeying for every vote possible. ted cruz and donald trump have events scheduled later this hour. we'll hear trying to establish f as the one and only

the republicans are going after her because they know she will not only be effective in washington but she's our best chance to make sure that the white house stays in democratic hands. >> but that's bernie sanders saying it's very serious today. i know what he said about not caring about the e-mails but today she is saying it's very serious. do you think this is very serious? >> well, i will let senator sanders answer for himself. i was out this weekend here in iowa. we have been having events all week with thousands of people. this doesn't come up. what the voters here care about is affording health care. affording college. affording child care so i'm not hearing about it from the voters here. i think they take a lot of other issues much more seriously. >> i appreciate you being on. thank you very much. coming up in the next hour we'll talk to bernie sanders campaign manager. just ahead how the top republicans spent their day in iowa. all three campaigns in overdrive knocking on doors, making thousands of calls. doing everything they can to nail down votes. we go inside. could protec

we have to run this bunch out of washington d.c. we have to rid the earth of them. get them out of there. >> all right. on the democratic side it's even closer when you look at the numbers in the polls. hillary clinton with a 3 point lead over bernie sanders and statistically that's a tie because it's in the poll's margin of error so that's called a dead heat. the candidates are fanned out making their last minute pitch to voters at this hour and late into tonight. they don't want to miss a moment. you don't want to look back with regret. phil is here in des moines and that is where ted cruz will be holding a major rally tonight. our senior white house correspondent is in iowa. that's where donald trump is about to speak live at any moment. how confident is he about winning iowa? the polls show him ahead but it all comes down to turn out. does he think in a state where caucus going is an inherited thing that people are going to show up for him? >> that's the million dollar question and we're going to get that answer tomorrow night. i asked the campaign manager for d

this is the china shop, washington, d.c., they want to send the bull in and break everything. >> if you talk to voters, i talk to a woman when i was in iowa, and she said, she felt that donald trump was crazy. might get us into another world war. but she liked him anyway. as john said, he was a disrupter. it's amazing. a lot of these trump advocators, can make sort of a separation, with all of these things that they don't necessarily -- >> i think donald trump is to religion what ben carson is to foreign policy to a certain degree. he kind of tried to study up to say i love evangelicals, i'm like you. i get you, just the way ben carson -- >> let me wiki them. let me do a little google search. somehow it doesn't on that particular front, it doesn't come across as authentic. we saw it in randy kay's piece. before this voter. >> leading the polls. among evangelicals. >>> a lot more to talk about. we're going to look at a number of things. democratic bat until iowa, by the numbers guide coming up next. can a business have a mind? a subconscious. a knack for predicting the future. reflexes f

status quo, people who want things to change, people who are looking the message i'm going to change washington and they're not out for you, there are different prescriptions to the same kind of problem that they're hearing defined by all these candidates. >> interesting talking about donald trump and bernie sanders have something in common. a lot of people who like them are angry and are angry at how things have been going. they like to watch it. we love it in the media. it's good for us. maybe not good for hillary clinton. some would say bad for the democratic party because it would show there's a schism. is that true? >> we had a long fight in 2008 and it didn't work out that. democratic voters wanted to see this young senator barack obama go toe to toe with a heavyweight for all 50 rounds. it's a little bit different now. a little thing i would be worried about if i were the clinton campaign is bernie sanders has raised a large amount in small donations. hillary clinton is reliant on what will be maxed out donors. she's going to have to be watching that as this goes on. the longer it goes,

he's going to come to washington, d.c., and he's going to do that because the national prayer breakfast is on thursday. >> very unusual. >> very unusual. >> to be announcing that you're going home to rest for a few days, not going on to the next site. >> very unusual, they said. it certainly was. but they didn't say he was dropping out of the race. now the story gets a little murky at this point. cruz campaign aides spread word to their supporters in iowa that carson might be or actually was dropping out. maybe planning a big announcement even though cnn never said that. carson accused cruz of dirting campaigning. cruz -- dirty campaigning. cruz apologized but blamed cnn causing brooke baldwin to call b.s. >> when senator cruz tries to throw my network and journalists under the bed, let me stand up for them. i'm going to call out b.s. if i hear b.s., and that's b. s. >> under pressure, cruz admit that "cnn got it correct." last night at the debate, he reverted to his previous position. he said this -- >> my political team saw cnn's report breaking news, and they forwarded that news to o

here in washington. 4:00 p.m. in rio de janeiro. 8:00 p.m. in syria. wherever you're watching from around the world, thanks very much for joining us. >>> up first, presidential politics here in the united states and the mad dash for votes in new hampshire. republican candidates, they're crisscrossing the state right now, just five days before the first of the nation primary. most of the candidates have multiple campaign events in new hampshire today. they're also sharpening their attacks on one another ahead of tuesday's primary. but texas senator ted cruz says he's taking the high road. donald and others have tossed more than a few nasty personal attacks my way. i can't control what they do. but i can control how i respond. and i have not responded in kind, and i do not intend to respond. i don't think the people are interested in a food fight. but i think the most important decision for the men and women of new hampshire is who do you trust? >> the new jersey governor, chris christie, made no poll gees for taking on some of his republican rivals. >>

tom foreman, cnn, washington. >>> so what is the campaign's take on this? joining me now is bernie sanders campaign manager. jeff weaver. we appreciate you taking the questions. i want to give you a chance to respond to this. is that senator sanders in this photo? we're going to show it again at the sit-in chicago in 1962? >> today the photographer of that photo and another photo which is also bernie with the university president which is featured in our advertising came forward and said he took the foe itos and that is in fact bernie sanders in those photos. >> so the campaign confident despite the fact you have this research done that showed a different name in the caption that this is indeed him? >> i think there was some confusion at one point by some relatives of somebody else. but the photographer himself, who took the actual picture said that is bernie sanders. i was there. he named other people in the room. we're 100% confident given that that that is him. >> you stand by the ad. i want to ask you about another topic. this is something that senator

. >> i'm wolf blitzer in washington. we want to welcome our viewers in the united states and around the world. we have breaking news right now. a cnn key race alert. cnn can now report that hillary clinton has won. hillary clinton has won the democratic caucuses in iowa narrowly. very narrowly defeating bernie sanders. bernie sanders comes in second place. an extremely close race. i want to bring in jeff, who is our correspondent. he is covering this. you see what the results there are. these are the results now by the iowa, by the iowa democrats. >> there hadn't been an official announcement in iowa. now there's an official announcement. the iowa democrats, swref, say hillary received 700.59 estate delegate ekwifl i wants. those are representatives that will go to the iowa democratic convention. bernie sanders 696.82 state delegate ekwifl ebt with where's. it's official now. hillary clinton camp can properly declare she won the iowa caucuses. >> she, in fact, did declare a victory. i'm here in in as away, new hampshire,

also cnn political commentator and washington correspondent for the new yorker, ryan lizza. this idea trump could be unstoppable based on not only momentum but math. how much stock do you put in there? >> a lot. we've been grading marco rubio on a curve since iowa, right? he has to consolidate the anti-trump vote and he has to consolidate the republican establishment around him and the donor class and do it basically yesterday. time is running out. in between now and super tuesday is likely to be another trump victory in nevada. bottom line as john pointed out. if you aren't winning, you aren't winning. the most important thing is if cruz can pick up florida and ohio, then he has a shot. then the momentum can change. it's going to be hard for him to pick up ohio if kasich is in the race. frankly, rubio's path is through john kasich. with kasich in the race, it's very, very hard to see how he catches trump. >> maggie, as long as -- to ryan's point, as long as kasich is in the race but also cruz is in the race. the vote is divided. >> the vote is divided although i've been ske

he didn't go to washington and play the game like marco rubio did. let's be clear about that. when he went there, he made it very clear i'm going to go and stand up for tea party conser conservative values. they were not popular in the senate. he stood up for values. he's never flip-flopped on partial birth abortion like trump has done. why don't you use that same logic towards trump and rubio that you're using towards ted cruz? it's a double standard. >> we still fund obamacare and planned parenthood. we still have syrian refugee relocation. he's in the senate and he said he would stop it and he didn't. he is talking about things he would do. he's got zero to show for it. >> hogan, as a senator he said i will go and fight to repeal obamacare. that's what he did as a senator. as a senator, you know this. you can only fight for it. he didn't say he was going to go up there and be the president. he said he was going to be a senator and fight against it. that's a man who has character and fights for his word. more than rubio did. >> you built d coalitions to ge things accomplishe

kathleen parker from "the washington post", jim warren from pointer, and molly hemingway, senior editor at the federalist. kathleen, is rubio trying to portray trump as a loser, something other candidates up until now have been maybe afraid to do? >> well, absolutely. and i'm delighted that e seems to have taken my advice because i wrote a column to that effect, but anyway, yes, basically what he's doing i think is going after trump. he's taunting him because the one thing a bully can't stand is to be taunted, and he's trying to get under trump's skin i think at a deeper level than anyone else has bothered to do previously and why not? trump has been throwing it at him pretty fiercely. he's returning the volley but he's also having a little bit of fun i think. it's a liberation moment for marco rubio who has been accused of being so robotic previously. it seems to be working too. trump cannot stand it and we'll see where it goes. we'll look forward to everyone getting back to being a little more presidential however. >> you think that will actually happen? >> will that actually happen?

meantime, send you to washington. the lead with jake tapper starts now. >>> thanks, brooke. our long national nightmare is over. leo finally has his oscar. the lead starts now. >>> donald trump blaming his earpiece for refusal to condemn the klan, david duke, and white supremacist groups. they interrupt a trump rally. >>> the biggest day in the campaign, republican officials in washington in desperation mode trying to save the party as they know it. what will it mean to be a republican if super tuesday becomes trump tuesday? >>> plus. >> i made the worst mistake of my life. >> first on cnn, an american college student detained in north korea sobbing as he pleas for mercy. does he look like a spy working for the cia? pyongyang thinks so. >>> welcome to the lead. i am jake tapper. everything is on the line for republicans tomorrow, super tuesday. if the polls are to be believed, this time wednesday we will be talking about donald trump, the presumptive republican presidential nominee. instead of party leaders getting comfortable with the idea, they're in full panic mode becaus

it's washington, d.c.'s game of kicking the can, and your kids are going to be it. >> that's it for "the lead." i'm jake tapper. tune in sunday morning for state of the union. the guests, jeb bush and marco rubio. turning you over to brianna keilar in "the situation room." >>> happening now, natural-born lawsuit. donald trump threatens to sue ted cruz over his citizenship if it rival doesn't clean up his act and stop running negative ads. trump is trying to clean up his own act by cutting down on vug garts. will he watch his mouth in his next event? we're standsing by. >>> embracing obama. one ran against him, the other has criticized him, but they're seeing who can hug the president more tightly. >>> machete attack. four people are wounded and a suspect is dead after a terrifying rampage in an ohio deli of was this a case of lone wolf

in washington. a whole new world on the campaign trail. next stop south carolina and nevada. hillary clinton is the favorite. now scrambling to regroup after new hampshire was lopsided. she even lost the women's vote. republicans are all chasing donald trump. all while two, dropped out. now a race like none we've ever seen before, frankly. it's about to get more interesting. let me start with jim acosta at the trump rally in pendleton, south carolina. jim? >> reporter: that's right. it is a figure of speech in politics. a candidate taking a victory lap on stage.

here in washington, 10:00 p.m. in damascus, syria. from wherever you're joining us, thanks for joining us. we begin with the presidential race. the republicans hitting nevada, the democrats looking ahead to south carolina. three of the five remaining republican hopefuls are in nevada today. that's the short-term focus. long-term, it's the march 1st super tuesday primaries. meanwhile, on democrat's sides, hillary clinton and bernie sanders are getting ready for their battle in south carolina, and the next test of how african-american voters are going to break. we'll get to that a little bit later this hour. but first, let's check the pulse of the republican race for the white house right now, donald trump is riding high after his ten-point win in south carolina. with a stop in atlanta, he ticked off the groups that gave him the win. >> so we won with everything. we won with highly educated, pretty well educated, and poorly educated, but we won with everything. tall people, short people, fat people, skinny people! just won. >> florida s

i'm saying to myself, what is the biggest problem right now in washington? well, it's clearly the dysfunction in washington, the fact that they don't talk, they don't work together. very rarely does anything get done. the one person who has the independence and can be the change agent to actually get washington working again, it was very clear to me that that was donald trump. >> jeff, an endorsement like that actually moving the needle for him at all in new hampshire at this point? >> no, i don't believe so. i listened to senator smith, whom i met back in the reagan days and have enormous respect for. i'm sure he's going to disagree, but i just think that when you are involved, i mean, he was the -- scott brown was the nominee for the united states senate the last time around, surely he's got some folks in new hampshire that like him. so, yes, i would think. but the more important thing is, like president reagan, who brought in conservatives and moderates together in the party, donald trump, when you've got sarah palin on the one hand and scott brown on the

we're going to get rid of common core which is basically education through washington, which is a disaster, by the way, and you understand that, and we'll get rid of obamacare. obamacare turned out to be a total disaster. >> donald trump is hoping to harness the momentum from his nevada win as the race heads straight into super tuesday. 11 states vote on that super day which has the other campaigns scrambling to find a path to stop trump's march for the republican nomination. let's go to phil mattingly following the trump campaign in virginia beach today. what did voters flare donald trump today? what was his message? >> kate, he's relentlessly on message. strength over and over again and repeating the length you just played there. he won't diverge to it. that's what they continue to reference, donald trump represents strength whether it's on national security, domestic issues or trade as he talks about regularly and i think the most interesting thing, kate, is as we've seen in the past three contests that's a message working and as we head into super tuesday where 25% of the available del

is the establishment whom we cover in washington, d.c., and wielded power for many, many years under president george w. bush and they control the house, they control the senate, are they going to be able to take back the presidential nomination? >> so does that mean a real coalescing around one of the four establishment candidates? >> yeah. is there push for marco rubio or jeb bush? is that going to work at all or not? we'll see. dana bash stay here. that's it for this special edition of "the lead." dana and i will be back with cnn's special coverage of the new hampshire primary 7:00 p.m. eastern. i now turn you over to wolf blitzer in a place we like to call "the situation room." >> who wins new hampshire depends on who turns out to vote. just moments from now we'll bring you the first answers to that key question. we want to welcome our viewers in the united states and around the world. i'm wolf blitzer, you're in "the situation room." >> i'm anderson cooper with new hampshire's secretary of state predicting a record turnout. we've just received the first exit polling data on who

there are 250,000 people at the march on washington. all of those people are civil rights icons, as i look at it. >> i don't doubt hillary clinton's support for civil rights and i don't doubt that she's been a supporter of the cbc and the issues you care about. but in 1964 she was a goldwater girl. by her own description she was a republican back then. i mean she was in high school. but she was not doing what bernie sanders was doing at that time. >> well, the thing that i think we all have connected with was that after her awakening, hillary clinton was able to participate in programs and put forth policies that were revolutionary at the time, working with the children's defense fund is just one. but keep in mind that back in that same time, ronald reagan, who was almost a deity for republicans, was a democrat. so i think if we're going to get into that part of things, i would say bernie sanders has just become a democrat. but i think the thing we need to focus on, frankly, is history. i think history says something about what a person

they know she will not only be effective in washington, but she's our best chance to make sure that the white house stays in democratic hands. >> the question is do you believe -- that's bernie sanders saying it's very serious today. do you think this is very serious? >> i'll let senator sanders answer for himself. i was out of doors this weekend in iowa. we've been having events all week. this doesn't come up. what the voters care about is affording health care, affording college, affording child care. i'm not hearing about it from the voters. think they take a lot of other issues much more seriously. >> thank you for being on. >>> coming up in the next hour we'll talk to bernie sanders' campaign manager. >>> all three campaigns in overdrive. knocking on doors, making calls, to nail down votes. performance... ...reimagined. style... ...reinvented. sophistication... ...redefined. introducing the all-new lexus rx and rx hybrid. agile handling. available 12.3-inch navigation screen and panorama glass roof. never has luxury been this expressive. this is the pursuit of perfection. checking

he has plans to fix the mess in washington, create new jobs, rising middle class incomes, and protect the american people from isis. >> what's the place that he has to have? i don't know you don't like it when you say you have to come in third or fourth, but these are real questions right now. for him to continue, he's got to do well here. >> we feel real well about south carolina. this is a commander and chief debate. this is the most military friendly state in the country. governor bush has been endorsed by lindsey graham. we think we have a great case to make that he is the best candidate on national security, which is the leading issue here in south carolina. >> what do you say, hogan? >> i don't disagree. he has an amazing resume. the conventional candidates are having a difficult time resonating because it is an unconventional year. it is almost like voters have put on blinders to all the things he just said. there's a lot of things governor bush has done toward conservative, but they're gravitating towards those who have no accomplishment. jeb bush has built a fire wall here. h

his focus instead is on fighting the washington cartel, breaking up washington as usual, getting the message to the american people that they want to hear, that they want someone who is consistent, who is a conservative that they can trust. that's the focus. rick is a phenomenal, wonderful person. he's apologized. marco rubio has accepted the apology. we're moving on. we're going to focus on the people of nevada and reviving our economy and making our military strong. >> you talk about trust. look, this is not the first time your campaign has come under fire for an ad or a posting as we all know. you were criticized for the ad showing marco rubio shaking hands with president obama. the rubio campaign accused you of photoshopping the ad. it was not a picture of marco rubio and president obama. it was remarkably similar to an image you can find online. should the leaders of the campaign be responsible for the candidate himself? >> look, as we said, he's taken action and we're moving forward. now is the time for us to focus on what the people of nevada are concerned with and it is about

in washington, 6:00 p.m. in london, 8:00 p.m. in jerusalem. wherever you're watching from around the world, thanks very much for joining us. up first, so-called political outsiders turning the presidential race upside down. a brash billionaire businessman and reality tv star is, a 74-year-old self-declared democratic socialist both winning very big in the first primary election of the 2016 campaign. senator bernie sanders trouncing hillary clinton 60% to 38% in new hampshire primary. on the republican side donald trump took 35% of the vote, ohio governor john kasich finished second with 16%. followed by senator ted cruz, former florida governor jeb bush and senator marco rubio. trump told cheering supporters he'll fix the country's problems, including the economy and creating jobs. >> if we had 5% unemployment, do you really think we'd have these gatherings? forgetting about security, forgetting about isis which, by the way, we're going to knock the hell out of isis, we're going to knock the hell out of them and it's going to be done the right

bush also vowed to change washington. but he's also putting the blame on republicans especially with this supreme court nomination. a question of will you give this nominee a hearing? that's going to put republicans on the defensive. but at the same time, don, i don't see the republicans caving. now, will the democrats say, well, the president won't sign spending bills unless you give him this nominee. that, will they raise the stakes to that degree? we'll see later this year, but i don't see republicans caving any time soon and i think republicans might say, listen, we might lose the senate over this, but this is more important to prevent obama from shifting this court. >> i appreciate all of you coming on tonight. gloria borger working hard in the field. all the guys, lazy in the studio sucking up the air-conditioning or the heat. gloria, thank you very much. >> come on down. it's fun. >> thank you, guys. see you soon. >>> when we come right back, hillary clinton on the trail in harlem. will african-american voters be t

. >> well, you know, we're certainly in a political era now with gridlock in washington where the art of political compromise i think unfortunately has been lost. i do think that the president has to be someone, he or she has to be someone who is an effective negotiator with a good temperament. he or she will have their finger on the nuclear button. and whether or not trump is that person is something not only iowa caucusgoers have to pay attention to but voters in the general election. >> tim o'brien, appreciate you being with us. >> thanks, anderson. >> i want to get the panel's take on this. donald trump has repeatedly said as president, you know, i'll modify myself, i'll change a little bit, i won't be quite so aggressive in my personality. do you think voters believe that? and do you think voters want that? >> sure, i think they believe it. you know, he has built, with all due respect to this gentleman, he has built this enormous business organization, which beyond doubt is successful. can you go through and cher write-pick a failure here or there? sure. of course. you can do tha

>> i think it really comes down to the fact that washington has become so corrupt by the donor class and the special interest, and we need to fix it from the outside in instead of the inside. and donald trump is the only candidate in the race that isn't completely controlled by the washington to wall street axis of power. we need someone to go and shake things up and make significant changes. he's the only one that has the capability to do that. >> donald trump lives in a manhattan penthouse and doesn't like to spend the night outside of new york and he's not taking money from people outside of new york but he's as new york as it gets. ted cruz, of course, now famously said new york values to imp ply a lot of negative things about materialism and apply that to donald trump. you obviously don't think that is right. >> i don't. i think a lot of that is because he's been an executive. he's hired tens of thousands of american workers across the country. so he's been able to see how to create those jobs and the impact the decisions he makes has on their families. and the other guys on the

you hear republicans and democrats, both of them, calling washington just a game. i think you're seeing both of these candidates really grabbing on to that type of message. the cleavage wasn't in the 90s i believe. it was the last recession. you started to see the tea party movement and the populist movement. we're seeing it take place and flourish in this campaign. >> donald trump self-funded. bernie sanders funded by small donors. neither taking big money from special interests. the clintons earned $153 million from speeches over 14 years. it is a stark contrast to that. >> it is. for two different reasons. obviously donald trump doesn't need anybody's money. if anybody missed that montage of clips, he will tell you he's very, very rich. he doesn't need anyone's money. bernie sanders has been fighting against the power and influence of big banks and big corporations his whole career in washington. his whole campaign is being fueled by small donations. it is funny when you look at them and you see they come together on this one issue, erin. >>> next hillary clinto

they asked him about health care, the economy and gridlock in washington. before we ended the interview, we got more personal. how do you relax? obviously you play golf. how do you decompress. you don't sleep much. >> not too much. i thought -- i'm relaxing now. isn't it a crazy thing? i feel that i'm a worker. i have to work hard. i love to work. if i were president, i would be in the white house a lot. i wouldn't be taking trips all over the place for whatever reason. why would you leave the white house? it's interesting. you're there for a limited period of time, okay? you're not going to be there forever. why would you after i would be there so much but i'd be working. i'm a worker. i would be working. when i go on a vacation, i once went on a vacation where they had no phones. i was out of there in one day. we've got to work. we need a working president. >> we both lost our older brothers. you lost your older brother in 1981, i believe. i did in 1988. what impact did that have on your life? >> it had a great impact. >> he was a handsome guy. he was a p

we have to run this bunch out of washington, d.c. we have to rid the earth of them, get them out of there. >> on the democratic side, it's even closer when you look at the actual numbers in the polls. hillary clinton with a three-point lead over bernie sanders in the latest des moines register poll. statistically a tie within the poll's margin of error, that's called a dead heat. the candidates are fanned out across the state. making the last-minute pitch to voters and late into tonight. don't want to miss a moment. you don't want to look back with regret come late tomorrow night. we begin with the republican race. phil mattingly is in des moines. our senior white house correspondent jim acosta is in sioux city, iowa where donald trump is about to speak. jim, i'll start with you, how confident is he about winning iowa? it comes down to turnout. does he think in a state where caucus-going seems to be an inherited thing that people are going to show up for him? >> well that's the million-dollar question. we're finally going to get that

>>> i'm michael smerconish live from washington d.c. the outcome of the south carolina republican primary and caucus will be a presidential reset. if hillary clinton loses to bernie sanders in nevada, might it forshadow another collapse like in 2008? and he certainly is not expected to win, but how badly jeb bush loses could determine whether this is the end of the line in his campaign just another indication of what an unpredictable election this has already been. post of all, the republican who is projected to win today keeps confounding everything we thought we knew about politics after baiting the pope himself into a holy war. donald trump now called for a boycott of one of the most popular american corporations, apple. that's despite the fact as of yesterday, trump himself was still tweeting with his iphone. today is also the day of antonin scalia's funeral. i'll talk to a former clerk of scalia's that went on to argue some 80 cases before the supreme court. cnn will begin coverage at 10:00 a.m. >>> the tussle in the fbi's battle a

now you ignore me down here in washington. >> that's not true at all. you know that's not true at all. >> are you calling me a liar? >> no, it's an untruth. >> an untruth. >> thank you so much. good to see you. >>> appear 'le is saying hackin terrorist cell phone could lead to all your secrets getting out. the battle could go all the way to the supreme court. >>> plus he's the guy who made so many rediscover the power of a smile. what did one worshipper do to make pope francis scowl like this? tired of working for peanuts? well what if i told you that peanuts can work for you? that's right. i'm talking full time delivery of 7 grams of protein and 6 essential nutrients. ever see a peanut take a day off? i don't think so. harness the hardworking power of the peanut. hey, i heard you guys dcan help med. with frog protection? sure, we help with fraud protection. if there are unauthorized purchases on your discover card, you're never held responsible. you are saying "frog protection"? fraud. frog. fraud! i think we're on the same page. at discover, we treat

some tried and true jabs dealing with citizenship or dealing with whether or not people in texas or washington actually like ted cruz. did the same thing on twitter today. you'll note he'll go after ted cruz no matter what. what donald trump does tomorrow night. it's what the other candidates do to him as you know quite well. the gop establishment is scrambling trying to figure out some way to stop this momentum that's gone forward. tonight will mark the first night and the last major opportunity on the public stage before super tuesday for those candidates to really go to work on trying to stop donald trump, anderson. >> phil mattingly, thanks. >>> now marco rubio out of state when the nevada results came in. pretty much went straight to bed as soon as the outcome was known. he held a campaign event here. jason carroll was there and joins us now. what's rubio's message after nevada because at some point if he wants to beat trump he actually has to beat trump. >> yeah. very true, anderson. his message post-nevada is the same message his campaign says before nevada which is he is the conservati

the voters are angry, they don't want a washington insider. they want somebody fighting for their jobs. they want somebody who's perhaps a little bit more protectionist and populist when it comes to trade. are you surprised or disappointed that senator cruz isn't adapting more to where the voters are? >> you know, he has a great message that i think now that the field has been winnow ed down will connect with people. let's talk about jobs and a lot of americans are concerned about jobs. ted cruz's message but also his solutions are far more effective because he understands that the biggest killer to jobs right now are all the heavy hand of regulation from the united states government. obamacare, the epa, dodd-frank, et cetera. ted cruz is the one who's able to bring all these things down very quickly once he's elected. that will stimulate gdp in the united states and get jobs growing again. >> white supremacist group is out with a robo call endorsing donald trump and telling voters, republican voters presumably that are being targeted not to v

cnn senior washington correspondent jeff zeleny is in charleston, south carolina, where bernie sanders is speaking this very minute. jeff, sanders and clinton fighting a war on two fronts right now, south carolina where you are, and nevada. >> reporter: sure are, jake. both fronts are critical. south carolina is going to provide the first test for the clinton campaign to see if that southern fire wall will hold. bernie sanders is trying to break through the cracks, at least a little bit. >> hillary clinton and bernie sanders in fierce competition to win over black voters. >> for justice. >> reporter: as sanders' campaign in south carolina -- >> i'll be in -- as somebody who is elected president will help lead this country in the fight against institutional racism. >> reporter: clinton was in harlem, meeting with al sharpton and other leaders. she cast her bid for the presidency as another chance to break history in america. >> my campaign is about breaking every barrier. >> reporter: their eyes fixed on south carolina where next week's democratic primary will test the strength of clint

in the meantime we send it to washington. "the lead with jake tapper" starts right now. >> thanks, brooke. i'm back from new hampshire. as donald trump might say, there was so much winning going on. "the lead" starts right now. there will be blood. donald trump moves on to south carolina with ted cruz in his cross-hairs. if you thought the race was chaotic and ugly before, wait until you see the tv ads running today. >>> going national. bernie sanders getting a huge fund-raising bump after his blowout win in new hampshire. can he break through in friendly territory for hillary clinton? >>> determined to attack. the top u.s. security official warning isis could strike inside the u.s. this year. and we may not see the terrorists coming. hello, everyone, welcome to "the lead." i'm jake tapper. our politics lead today, new hampshire narrowing the republican field. carly fiorina announcing she is suspending her campaign today. governor chris christie expected to do the same. while tuesday spelled the end for some, it was a momento

we're going to take you to washington now. "the lead" with jake tapper starts right now. >> thanks, brooke. he's looking more like a politician today and less like -- well, less like donald trump. "the lead" starts right now. recalculating. republican front-runner donald trump making some tweets after his second place finish in iowa. he's pounding the pavement instead of his opponents in new hampshire today. >>> hillary clinton and bernie sanders both of them circling left like they're on a nascar track as they battle over who's the real progressive. but did clinton stumble on the $675,000 question last night? >>> plus, an nfl star's death that may help save the lives of future players. our dr. sanjay gupta gives us a look at your brain on football and a possible medical breakthrough against a crushing disease. >>> good afternoon, everyone. welcome to "the lead." i'm jake tapper. we are in the thick of it, people, so of course we begin today again with our politics lead. donald trump in new hampshire, the site of the nation's

here in washington, 8:00 p.m. in tripoli, libya, wherever you're watching, thanks for joining us. we're following two developing stories this hour. first, it's the race for the white house. republicans are spread out across south carolina as they try and reach undecided voters in tomorrow's primary. saturday is also caucus day in nebraska for democrats. we'll check in on the latest with the hillary clinton and bernie sanders campaigns out there. and in washington right now, people are streaming in to pay their last suspect respects to antonin scalia. he's lying in repose at the u.s. supreme court. these are live pictures you're seeing right now. president obama and the first lady, they're expected there some time later today. we're going to talk more about justice scalia's life and legacy, that's coming up later this hour. >>> meanwhile john kasich called the republican race a demolition derby, of course referring to the running battle between donald trump and ted cruz, between ted cruz and marco rubio, between donald trump and jeb bush. are they willing to keep up the pressure an

cnn senior washington correspondent joe johns is in hudson, new hampshire, right now where the entire clinton clan, hillary, bill, chelsea, will rally voters in a few hours. joe, bill clinton is now calling some sanders' supporters sexists. >> reporter: there's a lot of that going on right now. i've got to tell you, jake, there has just been a furious effort over this last day with the clintons down in the polls, trying to close the gap. bernie sanders pushing back just as hard. just within the hour, we also got an early indication from hillary clinton that she's trying to change the tone on messaging just a bit and make her campaign more forward-looking in a tweet saying this campaign is about building the kind of future we want the next generations to come into. >> the american people are angry. >> reporter: bernie sanders and hillary clinton making a final push on the eve of the new hampshire primary. >> please, come out and help me tomorrow. >> reporter: clinton making the day a family affair, hitting the trail with her husband and daughter. >> the single best change maker i have

here in washington. 7:00 p.m. in rome. 8:00 p.m. in annikaa, turkey. sometimes volatile issues, politics and religion. pope francis wading into u.s. presidential politics, suggesting that donald trump's immigration plans are not those of a christian. the pope was taking questions from reporters on a flight to rome after his visit to the u.s./mexican border. he responded to trump's plan to build a wall along that border and trump's accusation of mexico using him as a political pawn. listen to this. >> translator: thank god, he said i was a politician. because aristotle defined the human person as that. at least i'm a person. as to whether i'm a pawn, well maybe. i don't know. i'll leave that up to your dutchmen and that of the people. and then a person who thinks only about building walls, wherever they may be located, and not building bridges is not a christian. this is not in the gospel. as far as what you said about whether i would advise to vote or not vote, i am not going to get involved in that. i say only that this man is not a christian if he ha

ryan lizza is here to talk about this, he's a washington correspondent for the new yorker magazine. why is this campaign, all of the sudden, it was bad, but now it's really getting ugly. why has it turn odd ugly? >> one there's an assumption that in iowa and new hampshire, voters are gentle in those states, south carolina is used to rough and tumble, but then the second thing is those states usually went over the field a little bit more. it didn't happen. there's not -- we're not down to a two or three person race the way previous open republican fields have been at this point. and there's basically a death match to be the alternative to donald trump. look at all the polling, there's not much in south carolina, he has a third or more of the vote, and then two-thirds of the vote is divided up among the non-trump candidates. and so, if you're a non-trump candidate, you've got to decide, do i go after my closest competitor, whether he's in the establishment or conservative lane like ted cruz or trump himself? you just have the circular firing squad of all the candidates trying to conso

the establishment in your state is out to get me, the establishment in washington. donald trump is fighting the big voices people don't like especially grassroots republicans. he's fighting president obama, fighting the republican establishment. nickki haley is popular in the states. that might require a bit more calibration for mr. trump to let it go and focus on his voters sometimes he can't resist. >> gleoria, to be clear, george w. bush is no longer on the trail for his brother, is he? >> reporter: no, i think it was a big showing and whether he'll come back out again, we deon't know, but his mother is going to be out on the trail so it continues to be kind of a family thing. >> gloria, thank you, john king as well. >>> just ahead, republicans on the attack as the south carolina approaches. will the republicans get tougher? that's next. >>> on the democratic side, bernie sanders and hillary clinton vie for the crucial african-american vote. e... ...reinvented. sophistication... ...redefined. introducing the all-new lexus rx and rx hybrid. agile handling. availab

they don't trust people in washington. and you need to overcome that, you need a track record. ted's track record goes back to when he was a teenager memorizing the constitution and making his way around texas teaching people about it through being the solicitor general, winning awards as the texas solicitor general that democrats supported him for what a good job he did defending the constitution. and then moving on to the senate and continuing that as the only consistent conservative in this race. >> if your candidate doesn't win texas, is that it for him? >> obviously, a home state is absolutely critical. we're not going to make any bones about that. you have to win your home state. really to have a viable path forward. and right now, with ted's popularity in texas, we see him heading to -- cruzing, in his case, to a victory. he's visited more time than any other candidate in the super tuesday states. we have more cash on hand than all the other campaigns combined. so we're prepared for that next week's worth of battles in all of these states as the race goes from one state

not a washington insider. we have a long-term multistate strategy and the resources to execute that. >> thank you all very much. it's going to be an exciting 24 hours as we hear what the voters of new hampshire have to say. >>> hillary clinton trailing bernie sanders by a having big margin. people close to the campaign say bill clinton is not happy. is michael bloomberg jumping into the race? he's speaking about this on the record for the first time tonight. should women vote for hillary clinton because she's a woman? we went to the ground today to talk to them. ♪ with advil, you'll ask what backache? what sore wrist? what headache? what bad shoulder? advil makes pain a distant memory. nothing works faster stronger or longer than advil it's the world's #1 choice. what pain? advil. i'm here to get the lady of the house back on her feet. and give her the strength and energy to stay healthy. who's with me?! yay! the complete balanced nutrition of great tasting ensure. with 9 grams of protein and 26 vitamins and