our path is florida, ohio, iowa and north carolina. >> we are in arizona because it is in play because of the shame of things donald trump is saying about p.o.w.'ss has put that in play and important governor races in indiana and missouri and we put in resources. >> check this out, the politics subcommittee card showing hillary clinton clenching the electoral vote with 262 of 270 votes need but the door is open for donald trump. we will bring in our political reporter for the daily beast. betsy, we will get to the map in a second but coupled with half dozen over swing states, the trump campaign manager is saying trump's management to the white house including florida where is where he is naples, ohio, iowa, north carolina, and even with a big two week media blitz, they are planning, what kind of strategy will kellyanne conway need to make the statement come true? >> it will be tough. florida and north carolina, particularly, hillary clinton is kind of taking the lead over donald trump the last few weeks, the incredibly damages news cycles since the course of the debate. those states us

they say they are seeing very encouraging signs in iowa and in ohio. they have also said they see a lot of registration among republicans in florida as well. 37 states allow some form of in-person or e-mail or mail, i should say, voting ballots. as much as 40% of the electorate could vote before november 8. these numbers climb every time we have this process. latest figures from the u.s. elections project and associated press show nearly 20 million people have already voted as of friday. so before all this happened, a lot of votes were already baked in the cake. it includes about 11 million mail-in ballots that were returned and 8.7 in person early voters who have taken advantage of that option. so how does all of that weigh in with the news that we saw on friday? we will see. >>> meantime, in light of those numbers, is there still room for dramatic shift in the electoral landscape at this point? the latest projection from larry sabato's crystal ball shows hillary clinton sitting at 352 electoral votes but that was of course before all of this happened

and is coming back in a way that shows in ohio, florida, north carolina, iowa and i believe i said iowa, that the republicans have the decided advantage. >> the other thing that is interesting is the ballot initiatives be it marijuana or gun control or minimum wage in some of the swing states are going to get people out of their houses and voting and once they vote they will vote for president. it may not be the presidential race that gets them out of the house. >> and sometimes that is politically motivated to try to bring them out and then they would impact the campaign. >> for sure. absolutely. >> i think what trump has is enthusiasm. what she has are these extraordinary analytics, the 1400 metrics the internal polls have been using to target the voters. can her three times as many regional offices compensate for the lack of enthusiasm that so many people feel? >> you mentioned earlier the polls have been wrong through the primaries they were wrong. a lot of people talking about the possibility of a brexit surprise. >> people hi to pollsters because they may not like the idea that th