, and win iowa, probably, then he needs to win two or three other states to get over the top. so if he wins the big three, florida, ohio and north can linear than he is in hailing distance of winning. but he still has a much narrower path than she does. >> that path basically gets him, if he pulls that off, wins all three of the must win, two of which are had are hugely close right now, and assume he doesn't win pennsylvania which is he probably not going to win pennsylvania, probably not, the more likely path is doing this thing where he stitches together these smaller states. even that just barely gets him to 270 electoral votes it is a very narrow path he is on right now. it's not impossible. but it's narrow. there is not much margin for error. >> rose: back in a moment. we will talk to the new york times reporters who got the letter that contained the documents about the 1995 tax returns of donald j. trump and marla maple. "the new york times" revealed on saturday that republican presidential candidate donald trump could have avoided nearly a billion dollars in income taxe